Ascendant Wealth Partners Insights

 

A top down summary and up to date information on the economy and investment markets – read our updates to learn more about how current events impact your portfolio.

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Fall 2025: The Pinnacle

October 17, 2025 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

Directionally, most major central banks have been reducing interest rates to stimulate economic demand – despite inflation continuing to run above desired targets. The market expects continued interest rate cuts from both the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve between now and the end of the year. Lower interest rates have a direct impact on valuations across all asset classes – and can have a material impact on traditional fixed income returns. In this publication of the Pinnacle, we explore opportunities to earn attractive returns through opportunistic and alternative investment strategies.

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Navigating Currency Shifts: The Impact of a Stronger Canadian Dollar on 2025 Portfolio Returns

September 17, 2025 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

As 2025 unfolds, the Canadian Dollar’s recent strength against the U.S. Dollar has reversed a multi-year trend, with implications on portfolio performance this year.
In our latest Special Report, Navigating Currency Shifts: The Impact of a Stronger Canadian Dollar on 2025 Portfolio Returns, we examine how currency dynamics are affecting returns, why diversification beyond Canada remains critical, and how strategic hedging can help manage risk in a changing market environment.

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Summer 2025: The Pinnacle

July 18, 2025 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

As tariff-related uncertainty begins to ease, constructive trade negotiations, encouraging signs of economic resilience, and strengthening global growth are all helping to support a more optimistic outlook for continued global expansion. While markets have responded positively to these developments, significant structural challenges persist, particularly with regard to trade, global geopolitics, and long-term fiscal sustainability. In this edition of The Pinnacle, we explore recent market developments and discuss our current thoughts and portfolio strategy.

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Spring 2025: The Pinnacle

May 2, 2025 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

In early April, President Trump and the Republican administration announced reciprocal tariffs on over 100 trade partners, prompting a material increase in volatility across major asset classes. While recent policy signals have helped calm markets, ongoing uncertainty continues to pose risks to near-term economic growth.

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The Imposition of Tariffs and our thoughts on Canadian Equities

March 6, 2025 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

A lot has happened during Trump’s first 100 days in office and we now find ourselves in an uncertain environment with respect to tariffs and trade policy. In this special edition of the Pinnacle, we discuss our Canadian equity market views, and where suitable, the reallocation we are making to reduce Canadian equity exposure in client portfolios.”

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The Pinnacle – Special Report

January 28, 2025 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

It has only been one week since Trump was inaugurated as the 47th President of the United States and Canada has been caught in the crosshairs of the tariff debate. In this special report, we provide our insights and thinking on what tariffs could mean for Canada, including a review of the potential impacts across our investment portfolios.

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2024: Year-in-Review

January 3, 2025 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

A common market truism goes: “Bull markets climb a wall of worry; bear markets slide down a river of hope”. Simply put, most bull markets are accompanied by a coterie of naysayers. Often, skeptics (bears) have a reasonable thesis as to why a positive trend in market performance should (or could) come to an end – in these environments, a bull market that continues to trend higher is said to “climb the wall of worry”.

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What the Trump Victory Means for Markets

November 7, 2024 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

We expect a pro-growth economic agenda will be pushed forward with the Republicans retaking control of the Presidency and the Senate. While the House is too close to call at this time, the Republicans are now favoured to win a narrow House majority. As a reminder, our comments below are focused on the economic implications of a Trump led Republican government. It is important to separate economics and market outcomes with Trump’s domestic, social, and foreign policies.

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Fall 2024: The Pinnacle

October 23, 2024 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

In this Fall 2024 edition of the Pinnacle, we pose questions to Jim Bantis, Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of Asset Allocation at Ascendant Wealth Partners, on topics such as interest rate policy, the upcoming U.S. election, recent stimulus announcements out of China, and the change in equity market leadership that is taking hold. Before we get to this interview, a quick recap on the markets.

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Summer 2024: The Pinnacle

July 12, 2024 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

In this edition of the Pinnacle, we will review key developments and market performance from the first half of 2024, including the AWP Team’s latest market outlook and commentary. As well, we will discuss Canada’s growth challenge, including an interview with Nathan Janzen from the RBC Economics team, who shares his insights. We also speak with Jim Bantis and Bruce Leboff, Co-Chairs of the Ascendant Wealth Partners Asset Allocation Committee, who share their thoughts on our positioning to Canada and other key themes.

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Canada’s growth challenge: Why the economy is stuck in neutral

July 15, 2024 | RBC Economics Team

An in-depth look at the reasons behind Canada’s drop in productivity over the past two decades and possible solutions.

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Food for thought - May 2024

May 30, 2024 | RBC Portfolio Advisory Group

May has been a noticeably better month for global markets, largely fueled by data from the U.S. A weaker pace of job growth and inflation numbers that did not show the kind of acceleration seen in prior months have rekindled hopes that the U.S. Federal Reserve may start cutting interest rates in the second half of the year.

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Spring 2024: The Pinnacle

April 16, 2024 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

In this quarter’s publication, we will review key developments and market performance from Q1 2024, including the AWP Team’s latest market outlook and commentary. Additionally, we will be providing an overview of alternative and private investments as an asset class – including a discussion on the potential role alternatives can play for diversification in a portfolio.

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birds in the sky.

Food for thought – earnings season

February 23, 2024 | RBC Portfolio Advisory Group

Global equity markets have maintained their strong start to the year, despite investors needing to recalibrate their expectations for the timing of interest rate cuts. 

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Winter 2024: The Pinnacle

January 10, 2024 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

We are cautiously optimistic heading into 2024. With general yields at levels not seen in over 15 years, intermediate fixed rate coupon bonds are once again an attractive opportunity. In addition, U.S. mid cap equities are compelling in an asset class dominated by the Magnificent Seven.

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Food for thought - Canadian banks

December 1, 2023 | RBC Portfolio Advisory Group

­The month of November finished on a high note, marking one of the best months this year for global equity and fixed income markets.

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Fall 2023: The Pinnacle

October 12, 2023 | Ascendant Wealth Partners

A topline summary of the economy as well as the investment markets and how they impact your portfolio, The Pinnacle is penned by Ascendant Wealth Partners’ Evan Howard.

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RBC Insights

 

Discover articles from thought leaders across RBC on a variety of relevant and engaging topics.

Video: Bank of Canada cuts interest rate to 2.75% as U.S. trade tensions persist

March 13, 2025 |Josh Nye

The Bank of Canada lowered its benchmark interest rate again in March, this time to 2.75% from 3%.

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U.S. tariffs on Canada take effect: What is the state of play?

U.S. tariffs on Canada take effect: What is the state of play?

March 06, 2025 |Frances Donald and Cynthia Leach

Although trade policies are evolving and government responses remain uncertain, here is a summary of what we know.

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Tariffs’ leverage extends far beyond trade

Tariffs’ leverage extends far beyond trade

February 05, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

Tariffs can have many economic impacts, but we think investors should focus on the economic and political goals that are driving decision-making.

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Bank of Canada cuts by 50 bps, signals more gradual approach to follow

Bank of Canada cuts by 50 bps, signals more gradual approach to follow

December 11, 2024 |Claire Fan
The Bottom Line: As expected, the Bank of Canada (BoC) cut the overnight rate by another 50 bps to 3.25% on Wednesday, right to the top end of the BoC’s “neutral” range estimate (2.25% – 3.25%). Macklem’s opening statement made clear that with interest...
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Global Insight 2025 Outlook: Canada

Global Insight 2025 Outlook: Canada

December 03, 2024 |Sunny Singh, CFA, and Josh Nye

Despite potential headwinds, we are generally constructive on Canadian markets, though we expect less outperformance in credit.

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The end of China’s challenging chapter?

The end of China’s challenging chapter?

October 31, 2024 |Frédérique Carrier

China’s economy is struggling. A coordinated stimulus to curb the crippling housing crisis and support local governments is being announced. We explore the measures undertaken and contemplated and their potential implications for portfolios.

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BoC accelerates pace of rate cuts

October 23, 2024 |Claire Fan

The level of the overnight rate is still restrictive at 3.75% and the BoC in the press release hinted at future rate cuts will follow to support a return to stronger GDP growth.

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The price of Fed rate cut success is steep, but not too steep

The price of Fed rate cut success is steep, but not too steep

October 02, 2024 |Thomas Garretson, CFA

The Fed has finally aggressively lowered interest rates. While a steeper yield curve reflects the market’s optimism that rate cuts will shore up the economic outlook, further steepness could be a sign the Fed will cut rates deeply, likely due to a re

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Positioning for inflation shocks

Positioning for inflation shocks

February 16, 2024 |Sean Killin

Geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainty are driving inflation risks. We look at the potential role of fixed income in portfolio positioning.

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