U.S. Recession Scorecard: Stuck with reduced visibility

The scorecard indicators remain mixed, including a shift in the yield curve indicator. The government shutdown has limited employment data, confirming a cautious investment approach is needed, as ongoing policy and trade shifts affect the economy. 

Fall 2025 Commentary - U.S. Recession Scorecard: Stuck with reduced visibility

Trade Deals, Deadlines and Delays 

Despite summer typically being more quiet, the headline-filled nature of 2025 has yet to show signs of slowing. A few notable developments have taken place recently, including the signing of a key piece of U.S. legislation and new tariff rates being proposed. We discuss below.

Summer 2025 Commentary - Trade Deals, Deadlines and Delays 

Federal budget 2025: A summary of key measures that may impact you

November 05, 2025 |RBC Family Office Services

We outline some of the proposed federal budget measures, and the effect they may have on Canadians and their families.

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Fed rate cut buys U.S. time, but no quick fix to debt

September 18, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

One clear winner from the Fed’s 25 basis point rate cut was the U.S. Treasury, which can roll over maturing debt at lower costs. Lower rates alone, however, are unlikely to make the country’s fiscal policy sustainable.

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Transmission framework: How tariffs will flow through the U.S. economy

Transmission framework: How tariffs will flow through the U.S. economy

August 06, 2025 |Frances Donald and Mike Reid

As U.S. tariff policy continues to evolve, investors are facing more questions than answers. RBC Economics provides a roadmap on when and where tariffs will start to impact the U.S.

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One Big Beautiful Bill Act: Beauty is in the eye of the beholder

One Big Beautiful Bill Act: Beauty is in the eye of the beholder

July 18, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

President Trump’s mega-legislation brings pro-growth, investor- and business-friendly measures but also puts greater strain on the already very high federal debt. We look at the highlights and lowlights before assessing the potential economic impact.

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“Big and beautiful” or not?

“Big and beautiful” or not?

June 06, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

With the centerpiece of U.S. President Donald Trump’s economic agenda winding its way through Congress, we examine what’s of key interest to markets and investors, before noting why the ultimate outcome of the bill is likely to look different.

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