2026 Market Outlook 

Markets have entered the new year digesting a steady stream of headlines, underscoring the importance of staying focused on fundamentals. We discuss geopolitics, corporate earnings, and monetary policy in more detail below.

2026 Market Outlook

U.S. Recession Scorecard: Stuck with reduced visibility

The scorecard indicators remain mixed, including a shift in the yield curve indicator. The government shutdown has limited employment data, confirming a cautious investment approach is needed, as ongoing policy and trade shifts affect the economy. 

Fall 2025 Commentary - U.S. Recession Scorecard: Stuck with reduced visibility

Trade Deals, Deadlines and Delays 

Despite summer typically being more quiet, the headline-filled nature of 2025 has yet to show signs of slowing. A few notable developments have taken place recently, including the signing of a key piece of U.S. legislation and new tariff rates being proposed. We discuss below.

Summer 2025 Commentary - Trade Deals, Deadlines and Delays 

The numbers behind U.S. tariffs

September 26, 2025 |Joseph Wu, CFA

Collections from U.S. tariffs are surging. As legal uncertainty looms and costs gradually pass through, balancing resilient corporate fundamentals against policy risks remains crucial for portfolio positioning.

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Fed rate cut buys U.S. time, but no quick fix to debt

September 18, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

One clear winner from the Fed’s 25 basis point rate cut was the U.S. Treasury, which can roll over maturing debt at lower costs. Lower rates alone, however, are unlikely to make the country’s fiscal policy sustainable.

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We look at the potential asset-class implications if the Fed moves too aggressively.

Six rate cuts in search of a reason

September 11, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

With the Fed poised to lower overnight interest rates next week, we think investors may be disappointed with what lowering rates is likely to accomplish. We look at the potential asset-class implications if the Fed moves too aggressively.

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Executive summary: The biotech revolution and longevity

September 05, 2025 |Frédérique Carrier

There’s more to a long life than simply a long lifespan. The number of years we spend in good health, or healthspan, is key. With biotech spurring promising medical innovations, we look at how it can fit into investment portfolios.

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Will the economy’s 2025 resilience continue?

September 04, 2025 |Joseph Wu, CFA

After outpacing cautious expectations in the first half of the year, the global economy could face new challenges from trade policy uncertainty and inflation over the coming months.

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Nothing new about September slides for stock markets

August 29, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

Equity investors have long dreaded September. But we provide some context as to why stocks tend to sag in the month and explain why investors should keep their eye on the long-term ball when it comes to portfolio positioning.

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Life reimagined: The biotech revolution and longevity

August 29, 2025 |Frédérique Carrier

There’s more to a long life than simply a long lifespan. The number of years we spend in good health, or healthspan, is key. With biotech spurring promising medical innovations, we look at how it can fit into investment portfolios.

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Europe summer 2025: Headlines galore

August 22, 2025 |Frédérique Carrier

Europe has seen heavy news flow this summer. We look beyond the headlines to identify what we believe are attractive areas of the European equity market.

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Tapping the brakes on the equity rally Q3 Q4 challenges ahead

Tapping the brakes on the equity rally: Q3/Q4 challenges ahead

August 15, 2025 |Robert Sluymer, CFA, Technical Strategist – New York

The S&P 500 uptrend reached an all-time high, but there could be more challenges in Q3 and Q4. With market cap concentration, seasonality trends, and valuation concerns, is it time to rebalance your portfolio?

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Tech steals the Q2 earnings show

Tech steals the Q2 earnings show

August 11, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

There are more positive than negative aspects of the Q2 S&P 500 earnings season. But there are some nuances within the Information Technology sector data that we think call for restraint.

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