A History of our Client Communications


The "Our Blog" section of this site is a historical catalogue of our personally written weekly client emails.  Clients might find this database to be a useful reference, while visitors and potential clients might like to review the consistency and depth of our general messaging.  Weekly updates from December 2018 forward to present day are currently available.  Older vintages will be added as we're able.

 


 

Economic Growth Continues While Inflation Comes Down

January 26, 2024 |Nick Scholte

In spite of a Fed that has remained on hold for several consecutive meetings, falling inflation means that REAL rates are rising owing to a phenomenon known as "Passive Tightening." The Fed will not want this phenomenon to persist. Cuts are coming.

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The S&P 500 Hits an All Time High

January 19, 2024 |Nick Scholte

On the back of economic indicators continuing to remain strong.

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Headline Inflation Measures Delivered a Superficially Mixed Message this Week, but Easing Price Pressures Continue Below the Surface

January 12, 2024 |Nick Scholte

Consumer Prices came in higher, while Producer Prices outright declined. The U.S. Fed's preferred inflation measure correlates more closely to producer prices. As such, odds increased to over 80% for the first U.S. rate cut to come in March.

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The Year Ahead

January 05, 2024 |Nick Scholte

The past 12 months saw healthy returns in client portfolios. 2024 looks set to be decent also, although earnings will likely need to grow faster than the meagre 3.1% rate seen in 2023 for this expectation to be realized.

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It's "Unofficially" Official - the U.S. is Done Raising Rates; and a Change to Portfolios was Made

December 15, 2023 |Nick Scholte

The Fed admits it has begun internal discussions as to when it would be appropriate to CUT rates. Also, Nike was sold for a quick 25% gain and Union Pacific was added.

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The Case for a Soft Landing Grows

December 08, 2023 |Nick Scholte

Collectively, data is coming in neither too hot nor too cold. While it's likely premature to refer to this collective data as "Goldilocks", the case for a soft landing undeniably grows.

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What a Difference a Month Makes!

December 01, 2023 |Nick Scholte

Markets surged in November as investors believe the rate hike cycle has come to an end. Timing of rate cuts is now the wider debate.

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The Economy is Slowing

November 17, 2023 |Nick Scholte

And even a mild recession is unlikely to disrupt markets too much. Encouragingly, a growing number of market strategists and economist believe a fabled "soft landing" might indeed be possible.

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Summarizing Where We Are

November 10, 2023 |Nick Scholte

In a nutshell, markets and the economy are working their way through the tail-end consequences of pandemic-era policies.

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With Lots to Write About and Coming Off the Best Week for Markets in 2023, Let's Simplify the Message

November 03, 2023 |Nick Scholte

The "message" being the outlook has brightened.

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