Gobal Insight Monthly - January 

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue: 

  • Global Insight 2024 Outlook highlights: Bonds are back - Whether the U.S. economy will finally tip into recession and with the return of bonds as an attractive complement to stocks in a portfolio, investors have much to consider this year. Our 2024 Outlook examines the opportunities and challenges facing markets and asset classes in 2024.
  • Global equity: More to come - Our view laid out in the Global Insight 2024 Outlook is unchanged. We expect new highs in most major stock markets early this year, most likely followed by a U.S. recession.
  • Global fixed income: The subtraction of all fears - As the fear of inflation dissipates, along with other concerns that hung over fixed income markets in 2023, we look at what investors can expect from what should be a lower rate environment in 2024.

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Global Insight Monthly - November 2023

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue:

  • Are equity markets entering the AI era? - Two contrasting dynamics have shaped equity markets in 2023: while a handful of tech-linked behemoths have accounted for the lion’s share of gains, the rest of the market has followed a more tepid trajectory. A key driver of this trend has been the emergence of generative artificial intelligence. But despite the stock market’s AI enthusiasm, potentially transformative technologies often bring investors more questions than answers.
  • Global equity: Two sides of the same coin - Surging bond yields have brought good news to investors overall on a couple of fronts. But they’ve also come with negative effects for equity investors. Our assessment of these dueling narratives leaves us retaining our Market Weight positioning in equities within a global portfolio.
  • U.S. recession scorecard: Different month, same status - With some data still to come, there have been no sufficient changes this past month necessitating adjustments to the positioning of our seven U.S. recession indicators on the Scorecard.

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Global Insight - October 2023

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue: 

  • New normal, old normal, or no normal? - With global interest rates achieving levels not seen in over a decade, some investors are beginning to wonder whether the era of zero and negative interest rates has ended. We explore what may be in store for the future of monetary policy.
  • Global equity: A narrowing path - While stock markets are likely to push through the recent consolidation phase and into a rebound rally, we see mounting pressures on the U.S. consumer narrowing the potential path to new highs. Our assessment of the hard vs. soft landing debate leaves us committed to stocks for the time being.
  • U.S. recession scorecard: Calm - The winds of change for the Recession Scorecard are at a standstill, but gusts could pick up as Q4 progresses.

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A registered account to help more Canadians enter the housing market

The tax-free first home savings account (FHSA) is a new registered account to help individuals save up to $40,000 on a tax-free basis to purchase their first home. The FHSA is a mix between a registered retirement savings plan (RRSP) and a tax free savings account (TFSA). Like an RRSP, contributions you make to a FHSA are tax-deductible; like a TFSA, withdrawals you make to purchase a first home (including the investment income earned) will not be taxable. This article provides a summary of key features of the FHSA.

Click here to learn more about the FHSA

Early 2023 tax tips

When the end of the year approaches, many individuals place a greater focus on tax planning to minimize their income tax liability. Beyond the end of the year, however, there are some areas of tax planning that often get overlooked. For example, there are tax planning strategies that may only be available early in the new year. With that in mind, this article summarizes some of the strategies that have deadlines in early 2023

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Tax Preparation

With the 2022 personal income tax return filing deadline fast approaching, this is a great time to see if you’re taking advantage of all of the tax benefits you may be entitled to. The following information outlines items you may want to consider when preparing your 2022 personal income tax return.

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U.S. equities: Signs of a cycle peak, with a Q2 reprieve likely

U.S. equities: Signs of a cycle peak, with a Q2 reprieve likely

March 28, 2025 |Robert Sluymer, CFA, Technical Strategist

As a volatile Q1 comes to a close, we think technical analysis provides a useful perspective on the potential paths of equity markets in the months ahead.

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Unraveling the uncertainties facing stock markets

Unraveling the uncertainties facing stock markets

March 21, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

To say it’s been a testing time for markets and investors is an understatement. Amid what can be confusing and rapidly shifting market dynamics, we give our thoughts on four key questions on investors’ minds about the U.S. equity

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Video: Bank of Canada cuts interest rate to 2.75% as U.S. trade tensions persist

March 13, 2025 |Josh Nye

The Bank of Canada lowered its benchmark interest rate again in March, this time to 2.75% from 3%.

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Tariffs: Bracing for market impact

Tariffs: Bracing for market impact

March 11, 2025 |Joseph Wu, CFA and Josh Nye
The 2018–2019 U.S.-China trade conflict underscored how tariff uncertainty can dampen sentiment, depressing valuations even if the earnings impact turns out to be modest. Given an unusually wide range of potential tariff outcomes, what approach should...
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Power, storage, and electrification: A revolution

Power, storage, and electrification: A revolution

March 11, 2025 |Frédérique Carrier

As burgeoning demand and innovation transform the energy landscape, we examine key trends that are likely to shape the future of renewable power and industrial electrification.

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Vortex of volatility

Vortex of volatility

March 07, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

A period of rapid-fire developments has understandably put investors on edge. We make sense of five catalysts tugging on stock markets and elucidate why we’re not ready to throw in the towel on the two-year-plus bull market just yet.

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What is the impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy?

What is the impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy?

March 06, 2025 |Mike Reid and Carrie Freestone
The effective U.S. tariff rate is now at its highest level since the 1940s after U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico on March 4. A new order was also signed for China, increasing tariffs to...
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U.S. tariffs on Canada take effect: What is the state of play?

U.S. tariffs on Canada take effect: What is the state of play?

March 06, 2025 |Frances Donald and Cynthia Leach

Although trade policies are evolving and government responses remain uncertain, here is a summary of what we know.

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U.S. tariffs on Canada take effect: What is the state of play?

U.S. tariffs on Canada take effect: What is the state of play?

March 06, 2025 |Frances Donald and Cynthia Leach
The U.S. administration has implemented blanket tariffs on Canada and Mexico after a 30-day reprieve with 25% on all imports except 10% on Canadian energy. An additional 10% tariff on China is also planned. Canada has been hit with its largest trade shock...
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