Gobal Insight Monthly - January 

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue: 

  • Global Insight 2024 Outlook highlights: Bonds are back - Whether the U.S. economy will finally tip into recession and with the return of bonds as an attractive complement to stocks in a portfolio, investors have much to consider this year. Our 2024 Outlook examines the opportunities and challenges facing markets and asset classes in 2024.
  • Global equity: More to come - Our view laid out in the Global Insight 2024 Outlook is unchanged. We expect new highs in most major stock markets early this year, most likely followed by a U.S. recession.
  • Global fixed income: The subtraction of all fears - As the fear of inflation dissipates, along with other concerns that hung over fixed income markets in 2023, we look at what investors can expect from what should be a lower rate environment in 2024.

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Global Insight Monthly - November 2023

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue:

  • Are equity markets entering the AI era? - Two contrasting dynamics have shaped equity markets in 2023: while a handful of tech-linked behemoths have accounted for the lion’s share of gains, the rest of the market has followed a more tepid trajectory. A key driver of this trend has been the emergence of generative artificial intelligence. But despite the stock market’s AI enthusiasm, potentially transformative technologies often bring investors more questions than answers.
  • Global equity: Two sides of the same coin - Surging bond yields have brought good news to investors overall on a couple of fronts. But they’ve also come with negative effects for equity investors. Our assessment of these dueling narratives leaves us retaining our Market Weight positioning in equities within a global portfolio.
  • U.S. recession scorecard: Different month, same status - With some data still to come, there have been no sufficient changes this past month necessitating adjustments to the positioning of our seven U.S. recession indicators on the Scorecard.

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Global Insight - October 2023

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue: 

  • New normal, old normal, or no normal? - With global interest rates achieving levels not seen in over a decade, some investors are beginning to wonder whether the era of zero and negative interest rates has ended. We explore what may be in store for the future of monetary policy.
  • Global equity: A narrowing path - While stock markets are likely to push through the recent consolidation phase and into a rebound rally, we see mounting pressures on the U.S. consumer narrowing the potential path to new highs. Our assessment of the hard vs. soft landing debate leaves us committed to stocks for the time being.
  • U.S. recession scorecard: Calm - The winds of change for the Recession Scorecard are at a standstill, but gusts could pick up as Q4 progresses.

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A registered account to help more Canadians enter the housing market

The tax-free first home savings account (FHSA) is a new registered account to help individuals save up to $40,000 on a tax-free basis to purchase their first home. The FHSA is a mix between a registered retirement savings plan (RRSP) and a tax free savings account (TFSA). Like an RRSP, contributions you make to a FHSA are tax-deductible; like a TFSA, withdrawals you make to purchase a first home (including the investment income earned) will not be taxable. This article provides a summary of key features of the FHSA.

Click here to learn more about the FHSA

Early 2023 tax tips

When the end of the year approaches, many individuals place a greater focus on tax planning to minimize their income tax liability. Beyond the end of the year, however, there are some areas of tax planning that often get overlooked. For example, there are tax planning strategies that may only be available early in the new year. With that in mind, this article summarizes some of the strategies that have deadlines in early 2023

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Tax Preparation

With the 2022 personal income tax return filing deadline fast approaching, this is a great time to see if you’re taking advantage of all of the tax benefits you may be entitled to. The following information outlines items you may want to consider when preparing your 2022 personal income tax return.

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Featured image for article S&P 500 rally: When a rising tide lifts some boats more than others

S&P 500 rally: When a rising tide lifts some boats more than others

December 05, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

The rally in 2025 and throughout the longer bull market cycle has been uneven with the largest of large-cap stocks dominating. Key charts illustrate this phenomenon, and we discuss how to factor this into portfolio strategies.

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More but less

December 02, 2025 |Jim Allworth

After three consecutive years of strong gains for most equity markets, nothing historically rules out a fourth.

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Quarter-century crossroads

December 02, 2025 |Eric Lascelles

Key themes have the potential to shape economic developments and drive certain sectors for decades to come.

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Europe in the age of trade uncertainty

Europe in the age of trade uncertainty

November 28, 2025 |Frédérique Carrier

The longstanding relationship between the U.S. and Europe is changing, with deep consequences for the euro area and its economy. We look into the impact of this metamorphosis on the corporate sector and discuss the related investment opportunities.

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Building on a narrow base

November 21, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

Long-term economic trends have left the U.S. economy increasingly reliant on spending by upper-income households. We unpack the potential implications for economic stability and Federal Reserve policymaking.

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Power tools

November 17, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

The White House has made broad interpretations of existing legislative authority to make unilateral policy moves. We examine how this centralized ad hoc decision-making raises structural concerns and how the economic policy framework may evolve.

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The U.S. dollar in transition: Cyclical volatility meets structural shifts

November 07, 2025 |Joseph Wu, CFA

The greenback’s volatile year underscores the interplay between cyclical drivers and longer-term valuation challenges—factors that could have implications for global equity leadership.

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Five disruptors to the U.S. economic cycle

November 06, 2025 |Frances Donald, Mike Reid, and Carrie Freestone

We’re increasingly of the view that a series of disruptions are masking a very real cyclical U.S. economic slowdown underneath the surface.

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Federal budget 2025: A summary of key measures that may impact you

November 05, 2025 |RBC Family Office Services

We outline some of the proposed federal budget measures, and the effect they may have on Canadians and their families.

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The Fed raises the bar for lower rates

October 31, 2025 |Thomas Garretson, CFA

Despite a second consecutive rate cut, a hawkish turn from the Fed supports our view that it’s on hold until at least 2026. While that may have previously caused market turbulence, investors seem content with the idea the Fed has already done enough.

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