One minute Market Update : RBC Global Asset Management

October 21, 2025 | Jeremy Goldfarb


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Good morning!

 

You can access the latest market update from RBC Global Asset Management by clicking here for the direct weblink, or here for the PDF.

 

The Economy

  • US recession remains unlikely in the near term view. Despite lumpy tariff and tax policy, the global economy continues to chug along
  • GDP growth is forecast to continue for most developed economies, with some acceleration, and some moderating. 

Bonds: what you see is what you get

  • with interest rates continuing to come down globally, fixed income returns will moderate over time. 
  • the yield to maturity figure is what one should expect in terms of forward looking returns

Equities: profits in focus

  • with valuations appearing extended, markets are pricing for a fairly narrow range of positive outcomes
  • extending the current rally will rely heavily on corporate performance, which is no surprise.
  • Absent a US recession, give stocks the benefit of the doubt