U.S. debt: Changing facts, updating views

U.S. debt: Changing facts, updating views

June 19, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

The U.S. government’s fiscal outlook can no longer be ignored.

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Global Insight 2025 Midyear Outlook: Canada

Global Insight 2025 Midyear Outlook: Canada

June 19, 2025 |Matt Altro, CFA and Luis Castillo

Elevated gold prices should continue to support the TSX, while ongoing tariff uncertainties have us tilting toward perceived less risky categories within fixed income.

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U.S. Recession Scorecard: Slow going

U.S. Recession Scorecard: Slow going

June 13, 2025 |Jim Allworth

Three years ago, all Recession Scorecard indicators were rated expansionary green suggesting to us that the U.S. economy was on a firm footing with a long way to run. However, the picture has become decidedly more mixed.

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“Big and beautiful” or not?

“Big and beautiful” or not?

June 06, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

With the centerpiece of U.S. President Donald Trump’s economic agenda winding its way through Congress, we examine what’s of key interest to markets and investors, before noting why the ultimate outcome of the bill is likely to look different.

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Critical Capital: How Canada can tap foreign investment for its mineral riches

Critical Capital: How Canada can tap foreign investment for its mineral riches

June 04, 2025 |RBC Thought Leadership
Key Points More than 100 mineral projects, valued at $107 billion, are at various stages of development in Canada over the next ten years. Unlocking that potential requires diversified capital flow, both domestic and foreign, for Canada to emerge as a...
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Is the rebound for real?

Is the rebound for real?

May 30, 2025 |Robert Sluymer, CFA, Technical Strategist

Equity markets have bounced back smartly in Q2. Technical analysis suggests a move higher into early-to-mid-Q3, but investors should watch the U.S. dollar, and more importantly, 30-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields.

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Equity market roller coaster: How is your stomach?

Equity market roller coaster: How is your stomach?

May 23, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

The U.S. equity market has taken investors on a bumpy roller coaster ride, leaving some of us queasy. We discuss what drove the rally, lingering risks, and the market’s potential from here.

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How tariff policy unpredictability is rippling through U.S. Treasury bonds

How tariff policy unpredictability is rippling through U.S. Treasury bonds

May 15, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

U.S. government borrowing costs on longer-maturity debt have risen more quickly than on shorter-maturity debt since so-called reciprocal tariffs were announced. We discuss what drove that reaction and why the difference is likely to persist.

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The Fed and its dueling dual mandate

The Fed and its dueling dual mandate

May 09, 2025 |Thomas Garretson, CFA

Questions regarding the Federal Reserve’s price stability and maximum employment mandates abound. We look at what investors should know at a time when there is a lack of clarity regarding the central bank’s next moves.

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Canada’s building homes fast─but for how long?

May 07, 2025 |Robert Hogue

Slumping pre-construction sales are slowing the flow of units entering the pipeline and this could have negative consequences for supply growth in the medium to longer term.

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