It may be time to rethink how much cash you’re holding in your portfolio.
Key takeaways
- Cash is a risk-free place to keep your savings. It can provide security and stability.
- If you hold onto too much cash for too long, you may miss opportunities to earn greater gains from other investments.
- Dollar-cost averaging is a way to move your cash into the market in small amounts at a regular pace.
They say cash is king. It’s a safe place to park your savings that can earn you a guaranteed income when placed in a savings account or traditional short-term GIC – clean, easy and risk-free. But for long-term investors, the charm of cash might be better likened an enchanting siren’s call, luring them off course.
What’s the problem with cash?
Short-term cash investments are often the best options for your near-term spending needs. However, challenges can arise when an excessive amount of cash finds its way into your long-term savings.
How so? Well, let’s first consider that stocks and bonds would be the common alternatives to cash for a long-term investor. Stocks and bonds carry more short-term risk than cash. But, over time, they are likely to outperform cash. In fact, if we compare a representative balanced portfolio – made up of stocks and bonds – to 1-year GICs, we find that even the worst 20-year return for the balanced portfolio (4.9%) was still better than the best 20-year return for GICs (4.7%).
Best, worst and average 20-year return
Annualized
How much might cash cost you as a long-term investor?
To illustrate the potential cost of cash, let’s imagine your goal is to save $500,000 over the next 20 years. We will compare two options to invest your savings:
- Invest in a balanced portfolio. We’ll assume that your money will grow 4.5% each year. This return is lower than what a balanced investor has historically earned.
- Hold your money in cash. We’ll assume that your money will grow 1.4% each year. This is lower than the long-term average, but is actually better than what cash investors have earned over the most recent 20 years.
The hidden cost of cash over 20-year period
Additional contributions required to reach savings goal when investing in a low return asset
Based on our data, to reach your savings goals of $500,000:
- If you invest in a balanced portfolio, you would need to contribute $305,000 over 20 years ($15,250 per year).
- If you keep your money in cash, you would need to save $431,000 over 20 years ($21,550 per year).
- The hidden cost of cash is $126,000 ($6,300 per year). This is because your cash investments don’t offer nearly as much growth potential as the balanced portfolio. So if you want to save $500,000 over the same time period, you would have to make larger contributions.