The Harbour Group insights

 

Read the macro investment strategy and asset allocation thinking behind your portfolio, penned by our in-house market strategist, Robin Gullason.

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Do Bull Markets Die of Old Age?

December 19, 2025 - Peter Hannula

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The Cure for High Valuations Is Growth

December 12, 2025 - Peter Hannula

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To Worry or Not? Can we learn to stop fretting and dance with uncertainty?

November 14, 2025 - Peter Hannula

To Worry or Not? Can we learn to stop fretting and dance with uncertainty?

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RBC insights

Discover the latest articles from thought leaders across our organization on everything from estate planning to philanthropy.

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Oil price shock: Higher US inflation could weigh on consumers

March 11, 2026 |RBC Economics
In what follows, we outline a range of scenarios and how we’re thinking about the current oil price shock. 1. Higher oil will drive up inflation but the magnitude depends on the persistence of the shock Headline inflation has now exceeded 2% for nearly...
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Then and now: Market reactions to military conflicts and what they mean today

March 06, 2026 |Kelly Bogdanova

With the Middle East gripped in an acute crisis, it’s worth examining how prior military conflicts and significant geopolitical events impacted the U.S. stock market—and what history suggests for investors today.

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Navigating the Noise: Geopolitics back to the fore

March 06, 2026 |Robin Gullason
History demonstrates that while geopolitical shocks trigger sharp short-term volatility, markets typically recover quickly so long as the economic growth outlook is not impaired. The exceptions to this rule are periods where the economy is already at...
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Meet the new tariff, same as the old tariff

February 27, 2026 |Robin Gullason
Executive summary The U.S. Supreme Court limited presidential authority to impose sweeping tariffs under emergency powers, reinforcing congressional control. Tariffs remain central to U.S. industrial policy but are likely to emerge through slower, more...
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A mature but still intact equity bull market

A mature but still intact equity bull market

February 27, 2026 |Robert Sluymer, CFA

While valuations remain a headwind, U.S. equity markets remain above key technical support levels with potential for another round of sector rotation developing heading into Q2.

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Tariffs: A revenue win—but not a deficit fix

February 20, 2026 |Kelly Bogdanova

After a year of uncertainty, tariff rates have stabilized at lower levels than feared—and become a significant U.S. government revenue source. We assess the tariff landscape ahead of the Supreme Court’s important ruling.

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Economic Insights for 2026 with RBC Chief Economist, Frances Donald

February 19, 2026 |Frances Donald
Executive Summary: 1. Canada is better positioned than headlines suggest Many of us are anchored to negative narratives (trade war, regulation, cost of living), but the data shows Canada avoided recession and continues attracting capital. 2. Global capital...
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Can Europe meet the moment?

February 13, 2026 |Frédérique Carrier

The euro area defied expectations in 2025, delivering growth amid a challenging environment. Yet beneath this resilience, Europe has started to redraw its economic and strategic maps.

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Supply surge keeps Canadian house prices on a downtrend

February 12, 2026 |Rachel Battaglia
Supply-demand conditions weakened further in most large Canadian markets as January unfolded. Potential buyers remained cautious despite elevated inventory giving them the upper hand. Severe winter weather likely contributed to the slowdown, with significant...
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Trump Warshes his hands of Powell

February 06, 2026 |Thomas Garretson, CFA

President Donald Trump’s campaign to get rid of Fed Chair Jerome Powell culminated in the most likely outcome—simply nominating a replacement. With Kevin Warsh on track to be the next chair, we look at the potential economic and market impacts.

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