The Global Investment Outlook

Economic data has been resilient, recession risks have diminished, and inflation has cooled sufficiently for central banks to consider cutting policy rates at some point this year. In this environment, sovereign bonds are appealing, and while stocks have surged as investors embraced the improved odds of an economic soft landing, demanding valuations in U.S. large-cap stocks may limit upside potential.

This Global Investment Outlook includes:

  • The recommended mix of cash, fixed income instruments, and equities.
  • The recommended global exposure of fixed income and equity portfolios.
  • The optimal term structure for fixed income investments.
  • The suggested sector and geographic make-up within equity portfolios.
  • The preferred exposure to major currencies.

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Federal budget 2024: Key measures that may have a direct impact on you

Federal budget 2024: Key measures that may have a direct impact on you

 April 17, 2024 |RBC Family Office Services

We analyze the proposed federal budget measures, and the effect they may have on Canadians and their families.

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How lowering the number of non-permanent residents will impact Canada’s economy

How lowering the number of non-permanent residents will impact Canada’s economy

 April 05, 2024 |Nathan Janzen
Federal government efforts to limit non-permanent resident arrivals will likely slow the pace of gross domestic product growth in 2025 and beyond. However, per-capita GDP, the unemployment rate, broader inflation pressures, and interest rate expectations...
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The five flags “watch list”: Protecting our most vulnerable

The five flags “watch list”: Protecting our most vulnerable

 March 08, 2024 |RBC Wealth Management
Exploiting and harming those most vulnerable in our society is on the rise. Here are five signs of elder abuse to be on the watch for. While many Canadians look forward to enjoying the later years of their lives - either in full retirement or for some...
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The Fiendish Five – five common scams to be on the lookout for

The Fiendish Five – five common scams to be on the lookout for

 March 08, 2024 |RBC Wealth Management
As our online lives continue to expand, cybercriminals are also increasing their nefarious efforts. To fight back, here are five common cyber scams to be aware of, and tips on how to avoid them. In the pre-Internet world, the most common method of theft...
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Protecting your business: Four scams to look out for

Protecting your business: Four scams to look out for

 March 08, 2024 |RBC Wealth Management
Whether you run a manufacturing business, an online consulting firm or a florist shop, you have information that is valuable to crafty cyber criminals. That’s why it’s important for small to medium-sized businesses to have a cybersecurity plan in place...
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BoC holds rates steady in March

BoC holds rates steady in March

 March 07, 2024 |Claire Fan, Economist, Royal Bank of Canada

The Bank of Canada (BoC) held the overnight rate unchanged for a fifth consecutive meeting, extending a pause that started after the last hike in July last year. 

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Proof Point: Weak productivity is threatening Canada’s post-pandemic wage growth

 February 28, 2024 |Nathan Janzen
Canadian wage growth has been unusually high, but looks more modest when measured against surging inflation and relative to acute labour shortages earlier in the pandemic recovery. Now lagging productivity in Canada (along with a softening labour market...
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End of the correction? Canada’s housing market is warming up

End of the correction? Canada’s housing market is warming up

 February 14, 2024 |Robert Hogue
It may be the unusually mild weather or the modest drop in fixed mortgage rates since November—or both—but Canadian house hunters have more energy this winter. Importantly, they’re landing more deals. Home resales in Canada increased for the second month...
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U.S. labour market ended the year with strength

U.S. labour market ended the year with strength

 January 05, 2024 |Claire Fan, Economist, Royal Bank of Canada
US labour market data ended 2023 with strength. Payroll employment was up 216k in December while the unemployment rate held at 3.7% after declining to that level the prior month. As was the case for much of the year, the employment gain in December was...
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Canadian labour markets ended 2023 with a whimper

 January 05, 2024 |Nathan Janzen, Assistant Chief Economist, Royal Bank of Canada
The December labour market data was mixed, but on balance adds to evidence that economic activity remained soft through Q4. Employment was essentially unchanged in December, the softest reading since a 6k decline last July. And the unemployment rate held...
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