Grace Under Fire

November 04, 2019 |Dann Cushing

The balance of probabilities in equity markets has been to the downside since May:...

Read more

Size Matters

October 15, 2019 |Dann Cushing

In the last update, we proposed the following key question for financial markets: ...

Read more

Asking the Right Questions

October 01, 2019 |Dann Cushing

After a noisy summer for financial markets, each passing week in September has been helpful for refining the proper question to ask...

Read more

Action, reaction

September 16, 2019 |Dann Cushing

It was a busy couple of weeks for pundits. Amidst the now normal, daily changes in trade policy, this summer’s one way decline in interest rates abruptly reversed. The reaction...

Read more

Dog Days are Over

September 02, 2019 |Dann Cushing

Financial markets finished off the dog days of summer in a fitting fashion for 2019: rapid-fire political jabs...

Read more

Subdued before Q2 Earnings

July 14, 2019 |Dann Cushing

In the absence of other news flow, the investors focused primarily on positive signaling from the Fed – specifically on Jerome Powell’s testimony...

Read more

Uncertainty Ahead

July 01, 2019 |Dann Cushing

Highlighting uncertainty in financial markets is typically a low-value-add comment – that is their whole reason for existence, after all. We are also acutely aware of the risks of confirmation bias. Nevertheless, there are enough tangible risks

Read more

Core Questions for Financial Markets

June 15, 2019 |Dann Cushing

Equity markets rose 4%, recovering about half of May’s losses as we entered wait-and-see period. The core question for financial markets remains whether trade-inflicted damage on business confidence will take hold faster and/or outweigh the benefit o

Read more

Divergence in the Bond and Equity Markets

June 01, 2019 |Dann Cushing

The two future paths currently being predicted by bond and equity markets are close to mutually exclusive; and the old, New York trading-floor saying is “the smart money is in bonds”

Read more

Yield Curve Inversion with Equities Near All-Time Highs

April 07, 2019 |Dann Cushing

After a few days of acclimatizing to the partial US yield curve inversion, equity markets...

Read more