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Running up debts to buy foreign goods is unsustainable in the long term. Identifying the problem is simple, but we see no easy or quick escape for the U.S. from the imbalances built up over the last four decades.
Although trade policies are evolving and government responses remain uncertain, here is a summary of what we know.
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Despite potential headwinds, we are generally constructive on Canadian markets, though we expect less outperformance in credit.
China’s economy is struggling. A coordinated stimulus to curb the crippling housing crisis and support local governments is being announced. We explore the measures undertaken and contemplated and their potential implications for portfolios.
The Fed has finally aggressively lowered interest rates. While a steeper yield curve reflects the market’s optimism that rate cuts will shore up the economic outlook, further steepness could be a sign the Fed will cut rates deeply, likely due to a re
