Recent Posts

Tariffs: A revenue win—but not a deficit fix

Feb 20, 2026 | Kelly Bogdanova

After a year of uncertainty, tariff rates have stabilized at lower levels than feared—and become a significant U.S. government revenue source. We assess the tariff landscape ahead of the Supreme Court’s important ruling.

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Can Europe meet the moment?

Feb 13, 2026 | Frédérique Carrier

The euro area defied expectations in 2025, delivering growth amid a challenging environment. Yet beneath this resilience, Europe has started to redraw its economic and strategic maps.

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Supply surge keeps Canadian house prices on a downtrend

Feb 12, 2026 | Rachel Battaglia

Supply-demand conditions weakened further in most large Canadian markets as January unfolded. Potential buyers remained cautious despite...

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High stakes, narrow margins: Canada’s federal budget bets on investment-led growth

November 05, 2025 |Cynthia Leach, Robert Hogue, and Salim Zanzana
Overall, the story of Budget 2025 is as expected. There is big new spending and deficits that would be even larger without review savings. Buffers are slim against the two fiscal anchors of a balanced operating budget by 2028-29, and a declining deficit-to-GDP...
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Gold’s regime change?

Gold’s regime change?

June 27, 2025 |Joseph Wu, CFA

The longstanding inverse relationship between gold and real interest rates seems to have broken down, suggesting new forces—central bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty, and portfolio diversification—have a larger role in driving demand for bullion.

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