Tim's Blogs

Growth in the third quarter is already looking to undershoot the BoC’s July forecast. We continue to expect another rate cut in October.

As U.S. rate cuts near, history shows stocks and bonds often perform well after the Fed starts easing cycles, with equities showing greater variability. Given mixed economic signals, the focus should be on quality in portfolio positioning.

Policymakers in Canada’s fastest growing cities face a triple challenge over the next decade: how to build their infrastructure for a rapidly growing population, continue lowering greenhouse gas emissions, and ensure that neither strain municipal finances...

While the U.S. president certainly has great influence, the formal and informal checks and balances built into the government’s structure still matter, and investors shouldn’t let election noise get in the way of sound portfolio management.

GenAI will likely have far-ranging repercussions on the economy, sectors, and business functions. We look at the potential impact and explore investment strategies we expect to benefit from the new era.

The 2.5% reading is the lowest since March 2021.

Recession risks have risen slightly as labour markets in the U.S. and Canada have cooled. We’re not past the point of no return, but investors should evaluate defensive options in their portfolios.

Four unresolved issues related to the selloff stand to hold sway over stocks. More volatility is likely, and we favor a defensive tilt in equity portfolios, focusing on high-quality shares that can better withstand further economic deterioration.

The market pullback will take time to play out. Planning for an eventual shift to defense beats a “hope for the best” approach.