The BIG Picture

Global equity markets are grappling with an executive order signed by U.S. President Trump over the weekend authorizing tariffs be placed on all Canadian imports beginning Tuesday, February 4th.

Canada has been hit with its largest trade shock in nearly 100 years. RBC Economics now finds itself balancing the desire to produce a clear analysis with the recognition that the evolution of trade policies, and policymakers’ responses to them, still...

The Bank of Canada lowered its benchmark interest rate in January to 3% from 3.25% amid ongoing uncertainty over the threat of U.S. tariffs.

Global equity markets have spent the past month adjusting to the view that the U.S. Federal Reserve may be nearing the end of its rate cutting campaign.

U.S. President Donald Trump has taken office, and understandably, there is growing concern about what threatened American tariffs could mean for the Canadian economy. Economists have a head start this time around—it isn’t our first pass at assessing the...

Happy New Year. The stock markets closed out a strong year on a quieter note as investors began to recalibrate their expectations for future interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve. This shift in expectations led to a rise in government bond yields...

Homeownership costs have eased for three consecutive quarters in Canada. The share of income a household needs to cover mortgage payments, property taxes and utilities has fallen nationwide to 58.4% by Q3 after reaching an all-time high of 63.8% in Q4...

Given the political uncertainty facing Canada, the fate of many of the measures announced in the 2024 Fall Economic Statement is highly uncertain. However, the fiscal update still serves as a snapshot of where the economy is headed and how upcoming challenges...

A continued decline in inflationary pressures, combined with ongoing signs of a cooling Canadian economy, recently prompted the Bank of Canada (BoC) to cut interest rates for the fifth consecutive time. In the U.S., the Federal Reserve is also expected...