The U.S. deficit, interest rates, and private sector interplay

The U.S. deficit, interest rates, and private sector interplay

February 07, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

Economics is rife with self-correcting mechanisms, and we give our thoughts on how that dynamic is likely to play out in the relationship between the U.S. budget deficit and longer-term interest rates.

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Tariffs’ leverage extends far beyond trade

Tariffs’ leverage extends far beyond trade

February 05, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

Tariffs can have many economic impacts, but we think investors should focus on the economic and political goals that are driving decision-making.

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Will investors see a pause in rate cuts, or the end?

Will investors see a pause in rate cuts, or the end?

January 31, 2025 |Thomas Garretson, CFA

Global central banks this month have offered something for everyone from further interest rates hikes in Japan to rate cuts in Canada and Europe, while the Federal Reserve remained motionless.

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Processing the U.S. legislative process

Processing the U.S. legislative process

January 30, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

Every administration enters office with aggressive policy goals. But a lot of give-and-take may be needed to turn goals into policy.

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Is 2025 the beginning of a small-cap renaissance?

Is 2025 the beginning of a small-cap renaissance?

January 24, 2025 |Kyle Bergacker, CFA

After years of small-cap underperformance relative to large-cap counterparts, the tide looks to be turning. We look at why investors shouldn’t overlook this aspect of the 2025 equity outlook as small caps seem poised to return to form.

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U.S. equity returns in 2024: Premium performance

U.S. equity returns in 2024: Premium performance

January 10, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

We pinpoint five reasons why U.S. equities capped off a banner year in 2024 and why investors were willing to pay for premium valuations. We also offer thoughts on the environment in 2025 and how to approach portfolio positioning.

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U.S. productivity renaissance

U.S. productivity renaissance

December 12, 2024 |Joseph Wu, CFA

Higher productivity has propelled the U.S. economy ahead of its major peers in recent years, offering a blueprint for other countries and raising the stakes in the global race to harness emergent technologies such as GenAI.

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Video: What investors can expect in 2025

Video: What investors can expect in 2025

December 03, 2024 |Global Insight

Learn what’s on the horizon for markets and the Canadian dollar—and discover four interesting investing opportunities.

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Global Insight 2025 Outlook: Canada

Global Insight 2025 Outlook: Canada

December 03, 2024 |Sunny Singh, CFA, and Josh Nye

Despite potential headwinds, we are generally constructive on Canadian markets, though we expect less outperformance in credit.

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Pondering a U.S. policy potpourri

Pondering a U.S. policy potpourri

November 22, 2024 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

How can investors separate the policy changes that are likely to really matter for the economy from those that get a lot of press but may not have the most traction?

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