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High stakes, narrow margins: Canada’s federal budget bets on investment-led growth

November 05, 2025 |Cynthia Leach, Robert Hogue, and Salim Zanzana
Overall, the story of Budget 2025 is as expected. There is big new spending and deficits that would be even larger without review savings. Buffers are slim against the two fiscal anchors of a balanced operating budget by 2028-29, and a declining deficit-to-GDP...
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Canadian federal budget preview

October 27, 2025 |Cynthia Leach
A new playbook for balancing bigger government with fiscal health We believe the context and composition of government spending matter as much as the quantum. Cyclically, our outlook has Canada avoiding a recession from the current set of tariffs, but...
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Tax Free Savings Account Limit 2026

October 24, 2025 |The Morsky Group
The 2026 TFSA limit and where to find your TFSA contribution room. The TFSA dollar limit will be $7000 in 2026, matching the limit of the past two years. The total contribution room available next year for someone who has never contributed to a TFSA and...
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Are U.S. tariffs accomplishing their goals?

August 20, 2025 |Claire Fan

The trade war remains in its early stages, with U.S. tariff revenues trailing behind announcements into the summer. Nevertheless, import tariffs collected as a share of U.S. imports have already risen to their highest level since the 1940s.

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Fall Economic Statement 2024: Canada boosts investment appeal and the deficit deepens

Fall Economic Statement 2024: Canada boosts investment appeal and the deficit deepens

December 18, 2024 |Rachel Battaglia, Robert Hogue and Cynthia Leach
Given the political uncertainty facing Canada, the fate of many of the measures announced in the 2024 Fall Economic Statement is highly uncertain. However, the fiscal update still serves as a snapshot of where the economy is headed and how upcoming challenges...
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