Five disruptors to the U.S. economic cycle

September 18, 2025 |RBC Economics
The U.S. economy seems in many ways an anomaly. Interest rates are, by many measures, in “restrictive” territory, and yet the unemployment rate remains quite low. The U.S. is in the midst of a historic trade shock with 100-year high tariffs, but inflation...
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Canada’s housing markets are slowly but unevenly getting busier

Canada’s housing markets are slowly but unevenly getting busier

September 11, 2025 |Robert Hogue
There was further evidence of a recovery is taking hold in many housing markets across Canada in August, but local price trends still varied considerably with declines continuing in affordability-challenged areas where inventory has piled up. Early reports...
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The Global Investment Outlook

Economic data has been resilient, recession risks have diminished, and inflation has cooled sufficiently for central banks to consider cutting policy rates at some point this year. In this environment, sovereign bonds are appealing, and while stocks have surged as investors embraced the improved odds of an economic soft landing, demanding valuations in U.S. large-cap stocks may limit upside potential.

This Global Investment Outlook includes:

  • The recommended mix of cash, fixed income instruments, and equities.
  • The recommended global exposure of fixed income and equity portfolios.
  • The optimal term structure for fixed income investments.
  • The suggested sector and geographic make-up within equity portfolios.
  • The preferred exposure to major currencies.

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