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High stakes, narrow margins: Canada’s federal budget bets on investment-led growth

November 05, 2025 |Cynthia Leach, Robert Hogue, and Salim Zanzana
Overall, the story of Budget 2025 is as expected. There is big new spending and deficits that would be even larger without review savings. Buffers are slim against the two fiscal anchors of a balanced operating budget by 2028-29, and a declining deficit-to-GDP...
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Canada’s housing markets are slowly but unevenly getting busier

Canada’s housing markets are slowly but unevenly getting busier

September 11, 2025 |Robert Hogue
There was further evidence of a recovery is taking hold in many housing markets across Canada in August, but local price trends still varied considerably with declines continuing in affordability-challenged areas where inventory has piled up. Early reports...
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Critical Capital: How Canada can tap foreign investment for its mineral riches

Critical Capital: How Canada can tap foreign investment for its mineral riches

June 04, 2025 |RBC Thought Leadership
Key Points More than 100 mineral projects, valued at $107 billion, are at various stages of development in Canada over the next ten years. Unlocking that potential requires diversified capital flow, both domestic and foreign, for Canada to emerge as a...
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Turning the Tables: How Canada can shake off the U.S. softwood lumber dispute and grow the sector

Turning the Tables: How Canada can shake off the U.S. softwood lumber dispute and grow the sector

March 28, 2025 |Ajay Nandalall
Canada’s intractable softwood lumber dispute with the U.S. has long cast a shadow over the country’s promising forestry sector. However, reimagining its potential, building a value-added industry, and seeking new markets could be the playbook that Canada...
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Video: An investor’s guide to trade tensions

Video: An investor’s guide to trade tensions

February 20, 2025 |Tasneem Azim-Khan

Tasneem Azim-Khan, chief investment strategist for RBC Phillips, Hager & North Investment Counsel, discusses what investors should keep in mind.

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Fall Economic Statement 2024: Canada boosts investment appeal and the deficit deepens

Fall Economic Statement 2024: Canada boosts investment appeal and the deficit deepens

December 18, 2024 |Rachel Battaglia, Robert Hogue and Cynthia Leach
Given the political uncertainty facing Canada, the fate of many of the measures announced in the 2024 Fall Economic Statement is highly uncertain. However, the fiscal update still serves as a snapshot of where the economy is headed and how upcoming challenges...
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The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election: What now? Election aftermath

The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election: What now? Election aftermath

December 16, 2024 |Tasneem Azim-Khan
This is the final report of a four-part series on the 2024 U.S. general election. Part I, Part II and Part III are available for review. It’s been about a month since Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election concurrent with...
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Bank of Canada cuts by 50 bps, signals more gradual approach to follow

Bank of Canada cuts by 50 bps, signals more gradual approach to follow

December 11, 2024 |Claire Fan
The Bottom Line: As expected, the Bank of Canada (BoC) cut the overnight rate by another 50 bps to 3.25% on Wednesday, right to the top end of the BoC’s “neutral” range estimate (2.25% – 3.25%). Macklem’s opening statement made clear that with interest...
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The Global Investment Outlook

Economic data has been resilient, recession risks have diminished, and inflation has cooled sufficiently for central banks to consider cutting policy rates at some point this year. In this environment, sovereign bonds are appealing, and while stocks have surged as investors embraced the improved odds of an economic soft landing, demanding valuations in U.S. large-cap stocks may limit upside potential.

This Global Investment Outlook includes:

  • The recommended mix of cash, fixed income instruments, and equities.
  • The recommended global exposure of fixed income and equity portfolios.
  • The optimal term structure for fixed income investments.
  • The suggested sector and geographic make-up within equity portfolios.
  • The preferred exposure to major currencies.

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