Thoughts on the Market

Global and domestic headlines have put the focus squarely on U.S. sovereign assets. We look at what steps investors should take in this time of shifting economic messages.

Over the past decade, the S&P 500, which has historically been viewed as a balanced cross-section of the U.S. economy, has slowly transformed into a tech- and AI-dominated index. We believe this “Great Narrowing” should be top of mind for investors.

Last year saw positive market results despite many naysayers. Can this rally extend into 2026? In this article, we examine China’s policy stance, economic fundamentals, and equity market implications to find answers.

U.S. stocks powered through tariff turbulence on the way to all-time highs. But it’s only natural to question whether the three-year winning streak can be extended. We look at what drove equities in 2025 and how prospects for 2026 are shaping up.

The rally in 2025 and throughout the longer bull market cycle has been uneven with the largest of large-cap stocks dominating. Key charts illustrate this phenomenon, and we discuss how to factor this into portfolio strategies.

The longstanding relationship between the U.S. and Europe is changing, with deep consequences for the euro area and its economy. We look into the impact of this metamorphosis on the corporate sector and discuss the related investment opportunities.

The White House has made broad interpretations of existing legislative authority to make unilateral policy moves. We examine how this centralized ad hoc decision-making raises structural concerns and how the economic policy framework may evolve.

The greenback’s volatile year underscores the interplay between cyclical drivers and longer-term valuation challenges—factors that could have implications for global equity leadership.

We’re increasingly of the view that a series of disruptions are masking a very real cyclical U.S. economic slowdown underneath the surface.