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High stakes, narrow margins: Canada’s federal budget bets on investment-led growth

November 05, 2025 |Cynthia Leach, Robert Hogue, and Salim Zanzana

Overall, the story of Budget 2025 is as expected. There is big new spending and deficits that would be even larger without review savings. Buffers are slim against the two fiscal anchors of a balanced operating budget by 2028-29, and a declining deficit-to-GDP...

Canada’s housing markets are slowly but unevenly getting busier

September 11, 2025 |Robert Hogue

There was further evidence of a recovery is taking hold in many housing markets across Canada in August, but local price trends still varied considerably with declines continuing in affordability-challenged areas where inventory has piled up. Early reports...

Critical Capital: How Canada can tap foreign investment for its mineral riches

June 04, 2025 |RBC Thought Leadership

Key Points More than 100 mineral projects, valued at $107 billion, are at various stages of development in Canada over the next ten years. Unlocking that potential requires diversified capital flow, both domestic and foreign, for Canada to emerge as a...

Turning the Tables: How Canada can shake off the U.S. softwood lumber dispute and grow the sector

March 28, 2025 |Ajay Nandalall

Canada’s intractable softwood lumber dispute with the U.S. has long cast a shadow over the country’s promising forestry sector. However, reimagining its potential, building a value-added industry, and seeking new markets could be the playbook that Canada...

Fall Economic Statement 2024: Canada boosts investment appeal and the deficit deepens

December 18, 2024 |Rachel Battaglia, Robert Hogue and Cynthia Leach

Given the political uncertainty facing Canada, the fate of many of the measures announced in the 2024 Fall Economic Statement is highly uncertain. However, the fiscal update still serves as a snapshot of where the economy is headed and how upcoming challenges...

Bank of Canada cuts by 50 bps, signals more gradual approach to follow

December 11, 2024 |Claire Fan

The Bottom Line: As expected, the Bank of Canada (BoC) cut the overnight rate by another 50 bps to 3.25% on Wednesday, right to the top end of the BoC’s “neutral” range estimate (2.25% – 3.25%). Macklem’s opening statement made clear that with interest...