Bi-Weekly Client Letter - November 28, 2025

November 28, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
Approaching the final stretch of 2025, the Canadian and U.S. economies appear well-positioned to extend their expansions. Strong earnings delivery, a favourable policy mix, and abating trade uncertainty are expected to help bolster growth prospects and...
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Bi-Weekly Client Letter - November 14, 2025

November 14, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
The market backdrop appears incrementally constructive, with the U.S. government shutdown now behind us and a strong earnings season bolstering equity market sentiment. We discuss these developments along with some thoughts on the Canadian federal budget...
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High stakes, narrow margins: Canada’s federal budget bets on investment-led growth

November 05, 2025 |Cynthia Leach, Robert Hogue, and Salim Zanzana
Overall, the story of Budget 2025 is as expected. There is big new spending and deficits that would be even larger without review savings. Buffers are slim against the two fiscal anchors of a balanced operating budget by 2028-29, and a declining deficit-to-GDP...
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Bi-Weekly Client Letter - October 31, 2025

October 31, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
Approaching the one-month point of the U.S. federal government shutdown, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been forced to make an interest rate decision with only partial visibility into the economy. Meanwhile, signs of weakness in pockets of the Canadian...
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Bi-Weekly Client Letter - August 8, 2025

August 11, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
As we’ve highlighted in recent letters, this summer has been far from quiet. Markets remain sensitive to a steady flow of headlines, many of them tied to evolving trade developments, which continue to shape investor sentiment. Meanwhile, the second-quarter...
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Gold’s regime change?

Gold’s regime change?

June 27, 2025 |Joseph Wu, CFA

The longstanding inverse relationship between gold and real interest rates seems to have broken down, suggesting new forces—central bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty, and portfolio diversification—have a larger role in driving demand for bullion.

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Food Fight: China’s tariffs adds to exporters’ woes

April 03, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
China retaliated with tariffs of its own on various Canadian agricultural exports in response to Ottawa’s tariffs last fall on Chinese electric vehicles and metals. The new tariffs mark an escalation in trade tensions between Canada and China, with the...
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U.S. reciprocal tariffs spare Canada/Mexico for now but trade risks remain

April 03, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
The long-awaited U.S. reciprocal tariffs announced have been large and broad-based, but critically exempt Canada and Mexico (at least for now) through CUSMA/USMCA compliant trade. The announcement includes a baseline 10% minimum tariff rate for all countries...
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Global Insight Weekly - March 28, 2025

March 28, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
I'm pleased to share RBC Wealth Management's latest investment newsletter. US equities: Signs of a cycle peak, with a Q2 reprieve likely The first quarter of 2025 was an eventful one for equity investors, marked by volatility and a market correction....
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Bi-Weekly Client Letter - March 21, 2025

March 21, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
Global markets have benefitted from the lack of trade-related noise over the past few weeks, with markets outside of the U.S. continuing to outperform year-to-date. Despite the relative calm on the tariff front, there were important developments elsewhere...
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