Global Insight Weekly - March13, 2025

March 14, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
I'm pleased to share RBC Wealth Management's latest investment newsletter. In brief – Tariffs: Bracing for market impact The 2018–2019 U.S.-China trade conflict underscored how tariff uncertainty can dampen sentiment, depressing valuations even if the...
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Tariffs: Bracing for market impact

March 11, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
The 2018–2019 U.S.-China trade conflict underscored how tariff uncertainty can dampen sentiment, depressing valuations even if the earnings impact turns out to be modest. Given an unusually wide range of potential tariff outcomes, what approach should...
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Tariffs’ leverage extends far beyond trade

March 07, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
Tariffs, in their modern form, are a trade measure. Higher U.S. import duties help domestic producers compensate for lack of cost competitiveness. An import tax helps reduce the U.S. trade deficit in the near term, although the longer-term picture becomes...
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Bi-Weekly Client Letter: March 7, 2025

March 07, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
Believe it or not, but we are only in the month of March. Yet, it has been quite the year already given the policy shifts and turns undertaken by the U.S. administration. While many people, including ourselves, are “tariff-ed” out at this point, we discuss...
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Bi-Weekly Client Letter: February 21, 2025

February 21, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
Investors need to deal with risk and uncertainty. Nevertheless, the noise level through the first few months of this year has admittedly felt higher than normal. The threat of tariffs, a surprise development in artificial intelligence, higher U.S. inflation...
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Global Insight Weekly - February 13, 2025

February 14, 2025 |Elizabeth Arseneau
Earnings before policy What matters more for the market, Washington policy or plain vanilla corporate profit trends? While Washington, D.C. will likely capture a lot more business press headlines this year and policy developments could generate volatility...
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Seller set the tone in Canada's housing markets as 2025 rolls in

February 12, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
It seems the new year has brought renewed optimism for Canadian home sellers. Early reports from local real estate boards showed a surge in new listings in January in several of Canada’s largest major markets led by Vancouver, Calgary, Toronto, and Montreal...
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What tariffs could mean for the US economy

February 06, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
The threat of sweeping tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China would have been (and may still be) the most significant trade shock in the US since the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of the 1930s. And, while the worst of the shock may be delayed or reduced, we are...
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Bi-Weekly Client Letter: 4 February 2025

February 04, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
Global equity markets have been grappling with the threat of U.S. tariffs in recent days. Markets have digested the news reasonably well as the selloff has been unremarkable. That may be partly attributable to uncertainty as to the timing of when tariffs...
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Oil Strategy Update: Global Pricing Stress Test

February 03, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
Analysis of Tariff and Sanctions Impacts on an Increasingly Volatile Market The market has gone through the first round of many potential disruptions for 2025. While there is an array of headline risk in the offing, the event risk rally, as well as the...
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