Global Insight Weekly - February 13, 2025

 February 14, 2025 |Elizabeth Arseneau
Earnings before policy What matters more for the market, Washington policy or plain vanilla corporate profit trends? While Washington, D.C. will likely capture a lot more business press headlines this year and policy developments could generate volatility...
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Seller set the tone in Canada's housing markets as 2025 rolls in

 February 12, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
It seems the new year has brought renewed optimism for Canadian home sellers. Early reports from local real estate boards showed a surge in new listings in January in several of Canada’s largest major markets led by Vancouver, Calgary, Toronto, and Montreal...
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Bi-Weekly Client Letter: 4 February 2025

 February 04, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
Global equity markets have been grappling with the threat of U.S. tariffs in recent days. Markets have digested the news reasonably well as the selloff has been unremarkable. That may be partly attributable to uncertainty as to the timing of when tariffs...
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Washington Strategy: Tariffs & Commodity Impact

 February 03, 2025 |Beth Arseneau
Response to the US Tariffs Levied on Canada and Mexico Since President Trump’s sweeping electoral victory in November, his advisors made it clear that he would break from past precedents on the use of tariffs. Rather than seeking to rectify trade imbalances...
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Fall Economic Statement 2024: Canada boosts investment appeal and the deficit deepens - RBC Thought Leadership

 December 18, 2024 |Beth Arseneau
Given the political uncertainty facing Canada, the fate of many of the measures announced in the 2024 Fall Economic Statement is highly uncertain. However, the fiscal update still serves as a snapshot of where the economy is headed and how upcoming challenges...
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BoC cuts by another 50 bps but with a slightly hawkish tone

 December 18, 2024 |Beth Arseneau
BoC cuts by another 50 bps but with a slightly hawkish tone. The BoC announced a second consecutive 50 bp rate cut in December, bringing total easing for the year to 175 bps—significantly more than other G7 central banks (see Exhibit 1). As recently as...
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Bi-Weekly Client Letter 2024-12-13

 December 18, 2024 |Beth Arseneau
A continued decline in inflationary pressures, combined with ongoing signs of a cooling Canadian economy, recently prompted the Bank of Canada (BoC) to cut interest rates for the fifth consecutive time. In the U.S., the Federal Reserve is also expected...
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Bi-weekly Client Letter 2024-11-01

 November 01, 2024 |Elizabeth Arseneau
Global equity markets have drifted lower recently, with North American equity markets retreating from highs. In the U.S., central bank policy easing is expected to continue, but investors have tempered their expectations for how quickly rates will fall...
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Bi-weekly Client Letter 2024-10-18

 October 18, 2024 |Elizabeth Arseneau
North American equity markets continue to push to record highs, bolstered by a promising start to the U.S. third-quarter earnings season. The results from major banks signal a healthy U.S. consumer, with spending supported by a resilient labour market...
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Bi-weekly Client Letter 2024-09-20

 September 20, 2024 |Elizabeth Arseneau
The U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates this past week, joining many other major developed central banks who have started to reduce interest rates in recent months. Another important development was the notable decline in Canada’s inflation rate,...
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