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High stakes, narrow margins: Canada’s federal budget bets on investment-led growth

 November 05, 2025 |Cynthia Leach, Robert Hogue, and Salim Zanzana
Overall, the story of Budget 2025 is as expected. There is big new spending and deficits that would be even larger without review savings. Buffers are slim against the two fiscal anchors of a balanced operating budget by 2028-29, and a declining deficit-to-GDP...
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Canadian federal budget preview

 October 27, 2025 |Cynthia Leach
A new playbook for balancing bigger government with fiscal health We believe the context and composition of government spending matter as much as the quantum. Cyclically, our outlook has Canada avoiding a recession from the current set of tariffs, but...
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Are U.S. tariffs accomplishing their goals?

 August 20, 2025 |Claire Fan

The trade war remains in its early stages, with U.S. tariff revenues trailing behind announcements into the summer. Nevertheless, import tariffs collected as a share of U.S. imports have already risen to their highest level since the 1940s.

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Video: An investor’s guide to trade tensions

Video: An investor’s guide to trade tensions

 February 20, 2025 |Tasneem Azim-Khan

Tasneem Azim-Khan, chief investment strategist for RBC Phillips, Hager & North Investment Counsel, discusses what investors should keep in mind.

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Fall Economic Statement 2024: Canada boosts investment appeal and the deficit deepens

Fall Economic Statement 2024: Canada boosts investment appeal and the deficit deepens

 December 18, 2024 |Rachel Battaglia, Robert Hogue and Cynthia Leach
Given the political uncertainty facing Canada, the fate of many of the measures announced in the 2024 Fall Economic Statement is highly uncertain. However, the fiscal update still serves as a snapshot of where the economy is headed and how upcoming challenges...
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The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election: What now? Election aftermath

The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election: What now? Election aftermath

 December 16, 2024 |Tasneem Azim-Khan
This is the final report of a four-part series on the 2024 U.S. general election. Part I, Part II and Part III are available for review. It’s been about a month since Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election concurrent with...
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