The push and the pull of U.S. earnings

The push and the pull of U.S. earnings

May 10, 2024 |Kelly Bogdanova

Q1 results have brought a mix of highlights and lowlights. We examine these opposing forces, how the Magnificent 7 narrative may change in coming quarters, and how to calibrate equity exposure in this unique period.

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Interest rate mood swings

Interest rate mood swings

May 06, 2024 |Thomas Garretson, CFA

April brought the usual spring showers, but it also brought some adjusted central bank rate cut expectations. We examine the what and why of the revisions and explain how investors should proceed.

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The Fed adjusts its focus, but the rate outlook remains blurry

May 03, 2024 |Thomas Garretson, CFA

The Fed keeps playing down upside risks to inflation, but did it just start playing up downside risks to labor markets? Ahead of key jobs data, how sensitive might the Fed be to any labor market weakness?

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Proof Point: A weaker Canadian dollar won’t necessarily derail BoC interest rate cuts

Proof Point: A weaker Canadian dollar won’t necessarily derail BoC interest rate cuts

May 01, 2024 |Nathan Janzen and Claire Fan
Proof point: The timing and magnitude of interest rate cuts from the Bank of Canada will be determined by domestic economic and inflation conditions and not the gap in monetary policy with the U.S. Federal Reserve or the value of the Canadian dollar....
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Energy stocks: A hedge to rising geopolitical risk

Energy stocks: A hedge to rising geopolitical risk

April 26, 2024 |Frédérique Carrier

Oil’s rally is fueling an intriguing opportunity. We contend the global oil sector is benefiting from improved fundamentals and exposure in equity portfolios can act as an offset to geopolitical risk.

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Don’t fight (or fear) the Fed

Don’t fight (or fear) the Fed

April 19, 2024 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

The U.S. central bank is an incredibly powerful institution that can exert influence on essentially any U.S. dollar-denominated asset. However, we believe the Fed is also widely misunderstood.

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Rally realities

Rally realities

April 15, 2024 |Kelly Bogdanova – San Francisco

It’s been a nearly unprecedented winning streak for U.S. stocks. But in this heady atmosphere there are vulnerabilities to keep top of mind. We dig into these, and how to position portfolios to balance the risks and opportunities.

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How lowering the number of non-permanent residents will impact Canada’s economy

How lowering the number of non-permanent residents will impact Canada’s economy

April 05, 2024 |Nathan Janzen
Federal government efforts to limit non-permanent resident arrivals will likely slow the pace of gross domestic product growth in 2025 and beyond. However, per-capita GDP, the unemployment rate, broader inflation pressures, and interest rate expectations...
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2024 earnings: The likely convergence of the “haves and have nots”

2024 earnings: The likely convergence of the “haves and have nots”

April 05, 2024 |Kelly Bogdanova

As all eyes focus on Q1 earnings results, we think the full-year earnings growth trajectory is more important. Growth rates for the Magnificent 7 and non-Mag 7 stocks are expected to converge, but some earnings risks remain.

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High expectations for U.S. equity markets

High expectations for U.S. equity markets

April 03, 2024 |Jim Allworth

Most major equity markets have moved to new high ground, propelled by expectations for interest rate cuts. But we are not out of the woods yet.

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