Insights

Canada is back at 2% inflation, but it’s too soon to pop the champagne. What’s driving prices now looks very different from before the pandemic.

The slowing in year-over-year price growth to a 2.0% rate - the lowest since February 2021, and right in line with the Bank of Canada’s (BoC's) 2% inflation target - was largely driven by lower gasoline (and oil) prices but broader underlying inflation...

The income earned by graduates has lagged tuition growth, particularly in fields such as engineering, architecture, and related sciences.

Growth in the third quarter is already looking to undershoot the BoC’s July forecast. We continue to expect another rate cut in October.

The 2.5% reading is the lowest since March 2021.

After a first interest rate cut in June, the Bank of Canada (BoC) again lowered its key overnight rate by 25 basis points at its meeting Wednesday, to 4.5%. The move was in line with market and our own expectations ahead of the announcement.

The latest Business Outlook Survey largely confirmed further normalizing in a few key areas that the central bank has deemed critical to future inflation trends.

Evidence has continued to build that the current high level of interest rates is no longer needed. All ducks appear to be in a row for the Bank of Canada (BoC) to kick-start the policy easing cycle and lower the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 4...

Proof point: The timing and magnitude of interest rate cuts from the Bank of Canada will be determined by domestic economic and inflation conditions and not the gap in monetary policy with the U.S. Federal Reserve or the value of the Canadian dollar....