Insights

Conflict has broken out in the Middle East, introducing a new layer of uncertainty for the economy and markets. The situation remains fluid. We outline below some of the potential implications of the Iran conflict and other geopolitical developments for...

In what follows, we outline a range of scenarios and how we’re thinking about the current oil price shock. 1. Higher oil will drive up inflation but the magnitude depends on the persistence of the shock Headline inflation has now exceeded 2% for nearly...

With the Middle East gripped in an acute crisis, it’s worth examining how prior military conflicts and significant geopolitical events impacted the U.S. stock market—and what history suggests for investors today.