Miller Musings

The U.S. central bank wields a powerful hammer with its ability to move interest rates. Despite its strength, though, we think the central bank is poorly suited to address key concerns arising from high oil prices and the rollout of AI.

With the Middle East gripped in an acute crisis, it’s worth examining how prior military conflicts and significant geopolitical events impacted the U.S. stock market—and what history suggests for investors today.

While valuations remain a headwind, U.S. equity markets remain above key technical support levels with potential for another round of sector rotation developing heading into Q2.

After a year of uncertainty, tariff rates have stabilized at lower levels than feared—and become a significant U.S. government revenue source. We assess the tariff landscape ahead of the Supreme Court’s important ruling.