From Doug's Desk

Federal government efforts to limit non-permanent resident arrivals will likely slow the pace of gross domestic product growth in 2025 and beyond. However, per-capita GDP, the unemployment rate, broader inflation pressures, and interest rate expectations...

We continue to look for the Bank of Canada to start cutting interest rates in June.

All but two FOMC participants continue to expect interest rate cuts this year.

February offered valuable clues on the direction Canada’s housing market is taking. Improving sentiment among buyers and sellers—no doubt stoked by growing expectations the Bank of Canada’s next move will be a rate cut—halted the series of monthly price...

The mismatch in immigrants' skills and the labour market’s long-term needs, along with pressure on the country’s infrastructure capacity is leading to negative economic outcomes.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) held the overnight rate unchanged for a fifth consecutive meeting, extending a pause that started after the last hike in July last year. 

Canadian wage growth has been unusually high, but looks more modest when measured against surging inflation and relative to acute labour shortages earlier in the pandemic recovery. Now lagging productivity in Canada (along with a softening labour market...

Canadian inflation outlook still murky but January CPI growth slowed Year-over-year CPI growth slowed to 3.2% in January from 3.4% in December. Energy and food price growth slowed, but the Bank of Canada’s preferred core measures of broader price pressure...

It may be the unusually mild weather or the modest drop in fixed mortgage rates since November—or both—but Canadian house hunters have more energy this winter. Importantly, they’re landing more deals. Home resales in Canada increased for the second month...