Recent Posts

Can Europe meet the moment?

Feb 13, 2026 | Frédérique Carrier

The euro area defied expectations in 2025, delivering growth amid a challenging environment. Yet beneath this resilience, Europe has started to redraw its economic and strategic maps.

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Supply surge keeps Canadian house prices on a downtrend

Feb 12, 2026 | Rachel Battaglia

Supply-demand conditions weakened further in most large Canadian markets as January unfolded. Potential buyers remained cautious despite...

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Trump Warshes his hands of Powell

Feb 06, 2026 | Thomas Garretson, CFA

President Donald Trump’s campaign to get rid of Fed Chair Jerome Powell culminated in the most likely outcome—simply nominating a replacement. With Kevin Warsh on track to be the next chair, we look at the potential economic and market impacts.

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Crosscurrents buffet U.S. dollar and Treasury market

Jan 29, 2026 | Atul Bhatia, CFA

Global and domestic headlines have put the focus squarely on U.S. sovereign assets. We look at what steps investors should take in this time of shifting economic messages.

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Power tools

November 17, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

The White House has made broad interpretations of existing legislative authority to make unilateral policy moves. We examine how this centralized ad hoc decision-making raises structural concerns and how the economic policy framework may evolve.

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The U.S. dollar in transition: Cyclical volatility meets structural shifts

November 07, 2025 |Joseph Wu, CFA

The greenback’s volatile year underscores the interplay between cyclical drivers and longer-term valuation challenges—factors that could have implications for global equity leadership.

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Five disruptors to the U.S. economic cycle

November 06, 2025 |Frances Donald, Mike Reid, and Carrie Freestone

We’re increasingly of the view that a series of disruptions are masking a very real cyclical U.S. economic slowdown underneath the surface.

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The Fed raises the bar for lower rates

October 31, 2025 |Thomas Garretson, CFA

Despite a second consecutive rate cut, a hawkish turn from the Fed supports our view that it’s on hold until at least 2026. While that may have previously caused market turbulence, investors seem content with the idea the Fed has already done enough.

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Canadian federal budget preview

October 27, 2025 |Cynthia Leach
A new playbook for balancing bigger government with fiscal health We believe the context and composition of government spending matter as much as the quantum. Cyclically, our outlook has Canada avoiding a recession from the current set of tariffs, but...
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Technical update: Signs of rotation support rebalancing portfolios

October 24, 2025 |Robert Sluymer, CFA, Technical Strategist

The S&P 500 has remained impressively resilient from a technical perspective. But we think some areas of the market are bottoming, supporting our belief that investors should consider rebalancing portfolios.

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U.S. Recession Scorecard: Stuck … with reduced visibility

October 10, 2025 |Jim Allworth

The scorecard indicators remain mixed, including a shift in the yield curve indicator. The government shutdown has limited employment data, confirming a cautious investment approach is needed, as ongoing policy and trade shifts affect the economy.

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How BRICS sees the world

October 02, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

Amid changes in the geopolitical order, the BRICS association is attempting to chart a new course. This article explains why its members—including the Eurasian troika of China, Russia, and India—believe a new multipolar world order is inevitable.

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The numbers behind U.S. tariffs

September 26, 2025 |Joseph Wu, CFA

Collections from U.S. tariffs are surging. As legal uncertainty looms and costs gradually pass through, balancing resilient corporate fundamentals against policy risks remains crucial for portfolio positioning.

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Fed rate cut buys U.S. time, but no quick fix to debt

September 18, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

One clear winner from the Fed’s 25 basis point rate cut was the U.S. Treasury, which can roll over maturing debt at lower costs. Lower rates alone, however, are unlikely to make the country’s fiscal policy sustainable.

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