U.S. recession indicators

November 27, 2019 | Jim Allworth, Kelly Bogdanova, Frédérique Carrier


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RBC Wealth Management’s Global Portfolio Advisory Committee monitors six major economic indicators to gauge recession risks. The table directly below compiles our view of recession risks based on each indicator’s current position and recent movement. The interactive charts that follow show how these indicators have moved over time, with U.S. recessionary periods highlighted. Below each chart is an explanation of the indicator and our view of its current status.

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