Insights

Canada has been hit with its largest trade shock in nearly 100 years. RBC Economics now finds itself balancing the desire to produce a clear analysis with the recognition that the evolution of trade policies, and policymakers’ responses to them, still...

The Bank of Canada lowered its benchmark interest rate in January to 3% from 3.25% amid ongoing uncertainty over the threat of U.S. tariffs.

Over the past month, global equity markets have adjusted to an expectation that the U.S. Federal Reserve may be nearing the end of its interest rate cutting cycle. After a subdued early start to the year, markets experienced some renewed strength over...

U.S. President Donald Trump has taken office, and understandably, there is growing concern about what threatened American tariffs could mean for the Canadian economy. Economists have a head start this time around—it isn’t our first pass at assessing the...

Stock markets closed out a strong 2024 on a muted note as investors began to recalibrate their expectations for future interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Homeownership costs have eased for three consecutive quarters in Canada. The share of income a household needs to cover mortgage payments, property taxes and utilities has fallen nationwide to 58.4% by Q3 after reaching an all-time high of 63.8% in Q4...

Given the political uncertainty facing Canada, the fate of many of the measures announced in the 2024 Fall Economic Statement is highly uncertain. However, the fiscal update still serves as a snapshot of where the economy is headed and how upcoming challenges...

A continued decline in inflationary pressures, combined with ongoing signs of a cooling Canadian economy, prompted the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates on December 11th for the fifth consecutive time.

The Bottom Line: As expected, the Bank of Canada (BoC) cut the overnight rate by another 50 bps to 3.25% on Wednesday, right to the top end of the BoC’s “neutral” range estimate (2.25% – 3.25%). Macklem’s opening statement made clear that with interest...