Proof Point: Weak productivity is threatening Canada’s post-pandemic wage growth

February 28, 2024 |Nathan Janzen
Canadian wage growth has been unusually high, but looks more modest when measured against surging inflation and relative to acute labour shortages earlier in the pandemic recovery. Now lagging productivity in Canada (along with a softening labour market...
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End of the correction? Canada’s housing market is warming up

End of the correction? Canada’s housing market is warming up

February 14, 2024 |Robert Hogue
It may be the unusually mild weather or the modest drop in fixed mortgage rates since November—or both—but Canadian house hunters have more energy this winter. Importantly, they’re landing more deals. Home resales in Canada increased for the second month...
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U.S. labour market ended the year with strength

U.S. labour market ended the year with strength

January 05, 2024 |Claire Fan, Economist, Royal Bank of Canada
US labour market data ended 2023 with strength. Payroll employment was up 216k in December while the unemployment rate held at 3.7% after declining to that level the prior month. As was the case for much of the year, the employment gain in December was...
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Canadian labour markets ended 2023 with a whimper

January 05, 2024 |Nathan Janzen, Assistant Chief Economist, Royal Bank of Canada
The December labour market data was mixed, but on balance adds to evidence that economic activity remained soft through Q4. Employment was essentially unchanged in December, the softest reading since a 6k decline last July. And the unemployment rate held...
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Black Friday spending surprised to the upside despite a softening macro backdrop

Black Friday spending surprised to the upside despite a softening macro backdrop

December 11, 2023 |Carrie Freestone
Retail sales ticked up in November in the midst of the holiday shopping period. Even after adjusting for inflation, real retail sales (excluding autos) were tracking an increase relative to October. Clothing stores and gasoline were responsible for the...
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Video: The Wealthy Barber on why executors should rely on trustworthy professionals

Video: The Wealthy Barber on why executors should rely on trustworthy professionals

November 29, 2023 |RBC Wealth Management

There’s a lot of advice online, and a lot of misinformation. If you’re an executor, get the right advice for you.

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Video: Are you an executor? Three reasons why you should get help

Video: Are you an executor? Three reasons why you should get help

November 29, 2023 |RBC Wealth Management

The Wealthy Barber on why executors should consider getting help from the professionals.

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Canadian artist Azza El Siddique melds materials and technologies to help people see art in new, spectacular ways

Canadian artist Azza El Siddique melds materials and technologies to help people see art in new, spectacular ways

November 29, 2023 |RBC Wealth Management

The artist's latest piece, acquired by the RBC Art Collection, was created in response to a painting by her late brother.

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2023 Fall Economic Statement: A summary of the key measures that may have a direct impact on you

2023 Fall Economic Statement: A summary of the key measures that may have a direct impact on you

November 22, 2023 |RBC Family Office Services

We analyze the 2023 Fall Economic Statement and outline the tax and support measures that may impact Canadians and their families.

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Canadian Inflation pressures showing further signs of easing

November 21, 2023 |Nathan Janzen, Assistant Chief Economist, Royal Bank of Canada
Most of the drop in Canadian headline CPI growth to 3.1% year over year in October (just a touch above Bank of Canada’s 1% - 3% inflation target range) came from a 4.5% month over month decline in gasoline prices. That decline also pushed year-over-year...
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The Global Investment Outlook

Economic data has been resilient, recession risks have diminished, and inflation has cooled sufficiently for central banks to consider cutting policy rates at some point this year. In this environment, sovereign bonds are appealing, and while stocks have surged as investors embraced the improved odds of an economic soft landing, demanding valuations in U.S. large-cap stocks may limit upside potential.

This Global Investment Outlook includes:

  • The recommended mix of cash, fixed income instruments, and equities.
  • The recommended global exposure of fixed income and equity portfolios.
  • The optimal term structure for fixed income investments.
  • The suggested sector and geographic make-up within equity portfolios.
  • The preferred exposure to major currencies.

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