The market is pricing that inflation is one year will be 3.3% above the Fed's 2% target

August 2025

August 29, 2025 |R. Matthew Lauer

Market Signals

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Concentration in the S&P 500 is rising again

July 2025

July 29, 2025 |R. Matthew Lauer

Rethinking Diversification

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Regional Consensus EPS (local currencies)

June 2025

June 30, 2025 |R. Matthew Lauer

Strategic Indifference

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Bloomberg US IG Corporate OAS

May 2025

May 30, 2025 |R. Matthew Lauer

New Era

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Sentiments Dull Over Tarrifs

February 2025

February 28, 2025 |R. Matthew Lauer

Market Divergence

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Long rates have disconnected from short rates recently

January 2025

January 31, 2025 |R. Matthew Lauer

Onward & Upward

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Happy Holidays

December 2024

December 31, 2025 |R. Matthew Lauer

Our Insights: Gratitude & Growth

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Annualized value of U.S. Fixed Assets Put-In-Place

October 2024

October 31, 2024 |R. Matthew Lauer

Our Insights: Industrial Surge

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S&P disaggregation

July 2024

July 31, 2024 |R. Matthew Lauer

Our Insights: Broadening Earnings

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Probability of recession within the next 12 months

June 2024

June 27, 2024 |R. Matthew Lauer

Our Insights: Recession Compression

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