Insights

Although trade policies are evolving and government responses remain uncertain, here is a summary of what we know.

The U.S. administration has implemented blanket tariffs on Canada and Mexico after a 30-day reprieve with 25% on all imports except 10% on Canadian energy. An additional 10% tariff on China is also planned. Canada has been hit with its largest trade shock...

As the threat of U.S. tariffs remains a regular topic of news outlets, we examine the potential highs and lows and their effects.

For the European Union, the economic impact of U.S. tariffs will depend on their level and duration. We investigate the implications of rapidly changing U.S. trade policies, and explore how the EU may respond.

Washington, D.C. policy decisions have been in the spotlight of late, but we think investors should not take their eyes off the results and clues coming from Q4 earnings season.

Economics is rife with self-correcting mechanisms, and we give our thoughts on how that dynamic is likely to play out in the relationship between the U.S. budget deficit and longer-term interest rates.

Global central banks this month have offered something for everyone from further interest rates hikes in Japan to rate cuts in Canada and Europe, while the Federal Reserve remained motionless.

Due to structural headwinds, we downgraded European equities to Underweight in December. Yet a number of catalysts could occur in Q1 that could be well received by equity markets. We peruse the opportunities that may emerge in European equities.

We pinpoint five reasons why U.S. equities capped off a banner year in 2024 and why investors were willing to pay for premium valuations. We also offer thoughts on the environment in 2025 and how to approach portfolio positioning.