Thoughts on the Market

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My Favourite Season

November 3, 2025 - Maddy Bodden

Fall is upon us, to the delight of nature lovers and North American sports fans. You can enjoy a drive to see the fall colours and watch baseball, basketball, football and hockey in the same weekend. It is also the time of our favourite season of all: third quarter US earnings season.

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The first cut is the deepest

The first cut is the deepest...Except for interest rates

October 3, 2025 - Maddy Bodden

Cat Stevens’ emotional ballad is about lost love, but one thing remains true as it relates to the stock market: investors love interest rate cuts. So why is the first cut important? One interest rate cut does not make a trend as it is only a simple data point. However, if more interest rate cuts happen, a trend begins, and the market gains momentum. This month, we will focus on North American interest rates and their projected impact on both the market and the economy.

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Doomscrolling for Optimists

Doomscrolling for Optimists

August 21, 2025 - Maddy Bodden

If you have viewed social media, this has happened to you: you read an article on a topic of interest, and it raises a concern. An hour and 20 articles later, your level of concern has grown as you find several different opinions on the same topic. This is known as doomscrolling, and if you’re not careful, it can negatively influence how you process information and make decisions, particularly around investing. Our goal with this article is to help people move from being readers to researchers and separate facts from opinions.

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RBC Insights

U.S. debt: Changing facts, updating views

U.S. debt: Changing facts, updating views

June 19, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

The U.S. government’s fiscal outlook can no longer be ignored.

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Global Insight 2025 Midyear Outlook: Canada

Global Insight 2025 Midyear Outlook: Canada

June 19, 2025 |Matt Altro, CFA and Luis Castillo

Elevated gold prices should continue to support the TSX, while ongoing tariff uncertainties have us tilting toward perceived less risky categories within fixed income.

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“Big and beautiful” or not?

“Big and beautiful” or not?

June 06, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

With the centerpiece of U.S. President Donald Trump’s economic agenda winding its way through Congress, we examine what’s of key interest to markets and investors, before noting why the ultimate outcome of the bill is likely to look different.

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Critical Capital: How Canada can tap foreign investment for its mineral riches

Critical Capital: How Canada can tap foreign investment for its mineral riches

June 04, 2025 |RBC Thought Leadership
Key Points More than 100 mineral projects, valued at $107 billion, are at various stages of development in Canada over the next ten years. Unlocking that potential requires diversified capital flow, both domestic and foreign, for Canada to emerge as a...
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Is the rebound for real?

Is the rebound for real?

May 30, 2025 |Robert Sluymer, CFA, Technical Strategist

Equity markets have bounced back smartly in Q2. Technical analysis suggests a move higher into early-to-mid-Q3, but investors should watch the U.S. dollar, and more importantly, 30-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields.

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Equity market roller coaster: How is your stomach?

Equity market roller coaster: How is your stomach?

May 23, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

The U.S. equity market has taken investors on a bumpy roller coaster ride, leaving some of us queasy. We discuss what drove the rally, lingering risks, and the market’s potential from here.

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How tariff policy unpredictability is rippling through U.S. Treasury bonds

How tariff policy unpredictability is rippling through U.S. Treasury bonds

May 15, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

U.S. government borrowing costs on longer-maturity debt have risen more quickly than on shorter-maturity debt since so-called reciprocal tariffs were announced. We discuss what drove that reaction and why the difference is likely to persist.

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The Fed and its dueling dual mandate

The Fed and its dueling dual mandate

May 09, 2025 |Thomas Garretson, CFA

Questions regarding the Federal Reserve’s price stability and maximum employment mandates abound. We look at what investors should know at a time when there is a lack of clarity regarding the central bank’s next moves.

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Beyond tariffs, what can the U.S. do in its quest for trade balance?

Beyond tariffs, what can the U.S. do in its quest for trade balance?

May 06, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

Running up debts to buy foreign goods is unsustainable in the long term. Identifying the problem is simple, but we see no easy or quick escape for the U.S. from the imbalances built up over the last four decades.

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Turning the Tables: How Canada can shake off the U.S. softwood lumber dispute and grow the sector

Turning the Tables: How Canada can shake off the U.S. softwood lumber dispute and grow the sector

March 28, 2025 |Ajay Nandalall
Canada’s intractable softwood lumber dispute with the U.S. has long cast a shadow over the country’s promising forestry sector. However, reimagining its potential, building a value-added industry, and seeking new markets could be the playbook that Canada...
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