Thoughts on the Market

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My Favourite Season

November 3, 2025 - Maddy Bodden

Fall is upon us, to the delight of nature lovers and North American sports fans. You can enjoy a drive to see the fall colours and watch baseball, basketball, football and hockey in the same weekend. It is also the time of our favourite season of all: third quarter US earnings season.

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The first cut is the deepest

The first cut is the deepest...Except for interest rates

October 3, 2025 - Maddy Bodden

Cat Stevens’ emotional ballad is about lost love, but one thing remains true as it relates to the stock market: investors love interest rate cuts. So why is the first cut important? One interest rate cut does not make a trend as it is only a simple data point. However, if more interest rate cuts happen, a trend begins, and the market gains momentum. This month, we will focus on North American interest rates and their projected impact on both the market and the economy.

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Doomscrolling for Optimists

Doomscrolling for Optimists

August 21, 2025 - Maddy Bodden

If you have viewed social media, this has happened to you: you read an article on a topic of interest, and it raises a concern. An hour and 20 articles later, your level of concern has grown as you find several different opinions on the same topic. This is known as doomscrolling, and if you’re not careful, it can negatively influence how you process information and make decisions, particularly around investing. Our goal with this article is to help people move from being readers to researchers and separate facts from opinions.

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RBC Insights

Technical update: Signs of rotation support rebalancing portfolios

October 24, 2025 |Robert Sluymer, CFA, Technical Strategist

The S&P 500 has remained impressively resilient from a technical perspective. But we think some areas of the market are bottoming, supporting our belief that investors should consider rebalancing portfolios.

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U.S. Recession Scorecard: Stuck … with reduced visibility

October 10, 2025 |Jim Allworth

The scorecard indicators remain mixed, including a shift in the yield curve indicator. The government shutdown has limited employment data, confirming a cautious investment approach is needed, as ongoing policy and trade shifts affect the economy.

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How BRICS sees the world

October 02, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

Amid changes in the geopolitical order, the BRICS association is attempting to chart a new course. This article explains why its members—including the Eurasian troika of China, Russia, and India—believe a new multipolar world order is inevitable.

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The numbers behind U.S. tariffs

September 26, 2025 |Joseph Wu, CFA

Collections from U.S. tariffs are surging. As legal uncertainty looms and costs gradually pass through, balancing resilient corporate fundamentals against policy risks remains crucial for portfolio positioning.

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Fed rate cut buys U.S. time, but no quick fix to debt

September 18, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

One clear winner from the Fed’s 25 basis point rate cut was the U.S. Treasury, which can roll over maturing debt at lower costs. Lower rates alone, however, are unlikely to make the country’s fiscal policy sustainable.

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We look at the potential asset-class implications if the Fed moves too aggressively.

Six rate cuts in search of a reason

September 11, 2025 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

With the Fed poised to lower overnight interest rates next week, we think investors may be disappointed with what lowering rates is likely to accomplish. We look at the potential asset-class implications if the Fed moves too aggressively.

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Executive summary: The biotech revolution and longevity

September 05, 2025 |Frédérique Carrier

There’s more to a long life than simply a long lifespan. The number of years we spend in good health, or healthspan, is key. With biotech spurring promising medical innovations, we look at how it can fit into investment portfolios.

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Will the economy’s 2025 resilience continue?

September 04, 2025 |Joseph Wu, CFA

After outpacing cautious expectations in the first half of the year, the global economy could face new challenges from trade policy uncertainty and inflation over the coming months.

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Nothing new about September slides for stock markets

August 29, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

Equity investors have long dreaded September. But we provide some context as to why stocks tend to sag in the month and explain why investors should keep their eye on the long-term ball when it comes to portfolio positioning.

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Europe summer 2025: Headlines galore

August 22, 2025 |Frédérique Carrier

Europe has seen heavy news flow this summer. We look beyond the headlines to identify what we believe are attractive areas of the European equity market.

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