RBC Canadian Inflation Watch

Slowing inflation in June sets the table for a July rate cut from Bank of Canada

July 16, 2024 |Claire Fan and Abbey Xu

The latest Business Outlook Survey largely confirmed further normalizing in a few key areas that the central bank has deemed critical to future inflation trends.

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Weaving the threads of U.S. equity outperformance

Weaving the threads of U.S. equity outperformance

July 11, 2024 |Ben Graham, CFA

While AI and the Magnificent 7 have been exceedingly visible in their leadership, we spotlight two other trends with a clear impact on portfolio performance and how to approach U.S. equities as the economic environment inevitably evolves.

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Bi-weekly Client Letter 2024-06-28

June 28, 2024 |Elizabeth Arseneau
Global equities have been somewhat directionless over the past few weeks. One notable development was the Canadian inflation report for May, which was higher than expected for the first time this year. This has moderately reduced expectations for a July...
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Bi-weekly Client Letter 2024-06-14

June 14, 2024 |Elizabeth Arseneau
Global equities have been a bit more mixed of late with Canadian and European equities weaker in recent weeks, though year-to-date gains remain respectable. Meanwhile, the U.S. equity market continues to display strength, driven by the large-cap technology...
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Bank of Canada set to make the first interest rate cut of easing cycle

June 04, 2024 |Nathan Janzen and Claire Fan
Evidence has continued to build that the current high level of interest rates is no longer needed. All ducks appear to be in a row for the Bank of Canada (BoC) to kick-start the policy easing cycle and lower the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 4...
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Bi-weekly Client Letter 2024-05-31

May 31, 2024 |Elizabeth Arseneau
Investor attention has turned to Canada over the past few weeks due to a slew of economic releases and earnings reports from Canadian banks. Below, we discuss key takeaways from these developments and reflect on the Canadian equity market’s performance...
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Bi-weekly Client Letter 2024-05-17

May 17, 2024 |Elizabeth Arseneau
May has been a noticeably better month for global markets, largely fueled by data from the U.S. A weaker pace of job growth and inflation numbers that did not show the kind of acceleration seen in prior months have rekindled hopes that the U.S. Federal...
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Private Investment Management- 2024 First Quarter Review

May 14, 2024 |Beth Arseneau
Q1 Economic Summary Equity returns were positive in the first quarter of 2024. The S&P/TSX, S&P 500, and MSCI EAFE Indexes were up about 7%, 13% and 7% respectively (Figure 1, Returns in CAD$). In Canada, Energy and Materials leading the way, while Energy...
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Bi-weekly Client Letter 2024-05-03

May 03, 2024 |Elizabeth Arseneau
Global equity markets finished the month of April a bit lower as they digested the gains made since last October. Markets largely spent the month grappling with sticky inflation and diminishing prospects for interest rate cuts in the U.S. In the past...
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Proof Point: A weaker Canadian dollar won’t necessarily derail BoC interest rate cuts

Proof Point: A weaker Canadian dollar won’t necessarily derail BoC interest rate cuts

May 01, 2024 |Nathan Janzen and Claire Fan
Proof point: The timing and magnitude of interest rate cuts from the Bank of Canada will be determined by domestic economic and inflation conditions and not the gap in monetary policy with the U.S. Federal Reserve or the value of the Canadian dollar....
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