Insights

We’re increasingly of the view that a series of disruptions are masking a very real cyclical U.S. economic slowdown underneath the surface.

Despite a second consecutive rate cut, a hawkish turn from the Fed supports our view that it’s on hold until at least 2026. While that may have previously caused market turbulence, investors seem content with the idea the Fed has already done enough.

Approaching the one-month point of the U.S. federal government shutdown, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been forced to make an interest rate decision with only partial visibility into the economy. Meanwhile, signs of weakness in pockets of the Canadian...

A new playbook for balancing bigger government with fiscal health We believe the context and composition of government spending matter as much as the quantum. Cyclically, our outlook has Canada avoiding a recession from the current set of tariffs, but...

The S&P 500 has remained impressively resilient from a technical perspective. But we think some areas of the market are bottoming, supporting our belief that investors should consider rebalancing portfolios.

The scorecard indicators remain mixed, including a shift in the yield curve indicator. The government shutdown has limited employment data, confirming a cautious investment approach is needed, as ongoing policy and trade shifts affect the economy.

The U.S. federal government began a partial shutdown this week. While notable, the impact of these shutdowns on the economy and financial markets have typically been modest. Political developments such as these often generate headlines and can induce...

Amid changes in the geopolitical order, the BRICS association is attempting to chart a new course. This article explains why its members—including the Eurasian troika of China, Russia, and India—believe a new multipolar world order is inevitable.

Collections from U.S. tariffs are surging. As legal uncertainty looms and costs gradually pass through, balancing resilient corporate fundamentals against policy risks remains crucial for portfolio positioning.